John Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
YSU -1.5✓ YSU covered by 4.5
Closing total163.5Under by 35.5
| This season | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-4 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 80–83 YSU · ✓ YSU (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 30 | 31 | 61 |
| YSU | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: GASO 30, YSU 32 (YSU by 2). The model had YSU by 1.5 and a total of 76.0 (actual 62).
Team stats
| GASO | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 8 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 31 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Tyren Moore G | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 26 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Shainen Carter F | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nakavieon White F | 20 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Andres Burney F | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Dallas Gardner, Cade Lomas, Amare Neal, Cullen Schreiner, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Jayden Williams, Pavle Ridesic
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Rolf F | 33 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 9-14 | 4-8 |
| Cris Carroll F | 32 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-6 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Jason Nelson G | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Polak G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Drew King G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tyler Robinett
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -1.5
ModelYSU -2.8
Model edgeYSU +1.3
W YSU covered
Total
Market163.5
Model162.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
GASO 79.8 · YSU 82.5
GASO 61 · YSU 67
Win probability
YSU 60%
1st half
Spread
YSU -1.5
YSU -2.0
Total
76.0
62 points
Projected score
GASO 37.3 · YSU 38.8
GASO 30 · YSU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -1.5
no move
CloseYSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▼ 3
Close163.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
GASO +105 · YSU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel YSU -3
model YSU -3
Opened 166.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | |
| 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+2.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
−2.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+4.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
+8.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
ECU
L 89-92
+29.5
8
vs
UNCA
W 93-90
+20.5
11
@
FGCU
W 95-94
+25.5
18
@
GT
L 66-68
−30.5
21
@
FSU
L 72-98
−5.5
over 3under 2avg +7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−0.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+24.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+5.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
−15.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−12.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+18.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+17.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
+6.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−22.5
over 3under 2avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida St72–98
- L@ Georgia Tech66–68
- W@ FGCU95–94
- Wvs UNC Asheville93–90
- L@ East Carolina89–92
3 days since their last game.
Youngstown St
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Greensboro62–68
- L@ Toledo75–92
- L@ St Bonaventure80–84
- W@ Grand Canyon90–81
- L@ Pitt59–74
1 day since their last game.