Ocean Bank Convocation Center · Neutral site
Closing line
JMU -1.5✓ JMU covered by 9.5
JMU -1.5✓ JMU covered by 9.5Closing total152.5Over by 12.5
 OMA | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-3 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 5-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 78–81 JMU · ✓ JMU (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| JMU | 48 | 40 | 88 |
1st half: OMA 32, JMU 48 (JMU by 16). The model had JMU by 1.3 and a total of 74.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| OMA | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 17-30 57% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 28 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Waddles G | 33 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 7-18 | 2-9 |
| Tony Osburn G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Brock Scholl F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khamani Cooper G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 27 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Christian Richardson C | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Valentino Simon F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Julian Margrave F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Benji Nelson, Aidan Skradis, Rob Matos, Paul Djobet, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Ricks III F | 31 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Justin McBride F | 29 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 9-11 | 3-3 |
| Bradley Douglas G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 3-13 | 3-7 |
| Cliff Davis G | 21 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paul Jones III G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Preston Fowler F | 18 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Lewis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Christian Brown F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Justin Taylor G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ike Cornish, Josh Stephen, Chance Lundy, Kose Egbule
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJMU -1.5
ModelJMU -2.5
Model edgeJMU +1.0
W JMU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model159.3
Model edgeOver 6.8
W Over
Projected score
OMA 78.4 · JMU 80.9
OMA 77 · JMU 88
Win probability
JMU 59%
1st half
Spread
JMU -1.3
JMU -16.0
Total
74.6
80 points
Projected score
OMA 36.6 · JMU 38
OMA 32 · JMU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -2.5
1 → OMA
CloseJMU -1.5
1 pt toward OMA
Total
Open160.5
▼ 8
Close152.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
OMA +115 · JMU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -2.5 · closed JMU -1.5 · moved 1 toward OMAmodel JMU -2.5
model JMU -2.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 8 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMAlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% |
| JMUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@
ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@
CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vs
SUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@
LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
over 4under 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vs
COPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@
LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@
LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vs
TOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@
FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
over 5under 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ LSU73–99
- Wvs Southern Utah90–85
- L@ Colorado St74–97
- L@ Abilene Chrstn71–73
- Lvs Murray St77–85
4 days since their last game.
James Madison
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ FIU80–72
- Wvs Towson81–75
- L@ Long Island79–88
- L@ Longwood72–82
- Wvs Coppin St84–70
1 day since their last game.