University Credit Union Pavilion · at Saint Mary's · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -18.5✓ SMC covered by 2.5
SMC -18.5✓ SMC covered by 2.5Closing total146.5Under by 11.5
 PORT | This season | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 12-2 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 63–84 SMC · ✓ SMC (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| SMC | 42 | 36 | 78 |
1st half: PORT 27, SMC 42 (SMC by 15). The model had SMC by 12.4 and a total of 69.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| PORT | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-61 34% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 2-19 11% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 34 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Williams F | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| James O'Donnell F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 28 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 27 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| NaVaughn Long G | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Preston Lee G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riley Parker, Timo George, Carlin Briggs, Marchelo Moreira
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 36 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 32 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 9-16 | 3-5 |
| Harry Wessels C | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 18 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rory Hawke G | 19 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Andrew McKeever C | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Tony Duckett G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cade Bennett G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jazz Gardner, Oliver Faubert, Kevin Gad, Trent MacLean
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -22.5
4 → PORT
CloseSMC -18.5
4 pts toward PORT
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +1400 · SMC -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -22.5 · closed SMC -18.5 · moved 4 toward PORTmodel SMC -21
model SMC -21
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMC -18.5 | SMC -20.9 | SMC +2.4 | W SMC covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 147.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PORT 63.2 · SMC 84.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMC -12.4 | SMC -15.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | PORT 28.3 · SMC 40.7 | PORT 27 · SMC 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
PORT 0–7 SMCSMC leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 7 meetings · PORT 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | PORT 66 @ SMC 79 | SMC -23.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SMC 81 @ PORT 58 | PORT +18.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SMC 76 @ PORT 51 | PORT +18.5 | SMC W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | PORT 52 @ SMC 95 | SMC -18.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | SMC 81 @ PORT 64 | PORT +11.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORE | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | @ UCSB | L 61-79 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 28 | vs WSU | L 62-67 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCU | L 85-92 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
−5.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−8.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−1.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
+8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−7.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−23.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+19.5
over 7under 6avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Mary's
14 games played
Straight up
12-2
86% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsSTMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
over 8under 6avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
5-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara85–92
- Lvs Washington St62–67
- L@ Santa Barbara61–79
- L@ Oregon69–94
- Wvs Kent State88–78
3 days since their last game.
Saint Mary's
12-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pepperdine72–45
- W@ LMU78–73
- Wvs Northern Iowa63–58
- Wvs FAU88–75
- Lvs Boise St67–68
3 days since their last game.