Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State
Closing line
JXST -2.5✓ USA covered by 8.5
JXST -2.5✓ USA covered by 8.5Closing total135.5Over by 0.5
 USA | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 68–74 JXST · ✗ JXST (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 25 | 46 | 71 |
| JXST | 31 | 34 | 65 |
1st half: USA 25, JXST 31 (JXST by 6). The model had JXST by 3.6 and a total of 66.1 (actual 56).
Team stats
| USA | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-53 49% | Field goals | 25-64 39% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 14-38 37% |
| 15-24 63% | Free throws | 1-4 25% |
| 36 6 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaze Harris G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9-14 | 0-1 |
| Peyton Law F | 33 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Adam Olsen F | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Randy Brady F | 31 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| JJ Wheat G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 8-18 | 8-17 |
| Jaye Nash G | 30 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 28 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 27 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ben Vungo G | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Aitor Anabitarte, Thomas Tut
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJXST -2.5
ModelJXST -6.2
Model edgeJXST +3.7
L USA covered
Total
Market135.5
Model141.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
W Over
Projected score
USA 67.5 · JXST 73.6
USA 71 · JXST 65
Win probability
JXST 71%
1st half
Spread
JXST -3.6
JXST -6.0
Total
66.1
56 points
Projected score
USA 31.3 · JXST 34.8
USA 25 · JXST 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJXST -3.5
1 → USA
CloseJXST -2.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open136.5
▼ 1
Close135.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USA +125 · JXST -145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JXST -3.5 · closed JXST -2.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel JXST -6
model JXST -6
Opened 136.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USAlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
| JXSTlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USA 3–1 JXSTUSA leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · USA 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | JXST 74 @ USA 76 | USA -4.5 | JXST W |
| Nov 30, 2023-24 | USA 52 @ JXST 70 | JXST -2.5 | JXST W |
| Dec 21, 2022-23 | JXST 66 @ USA 71 | USA -8.5 | JXST W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | USA 74 @ JXST 64 | JXST -3.5 | USA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vs
CMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vs
COPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
over 2under 2avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
over 1under 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coppin St72–62
- Wvs C Michigan66–64
- Wvs Alcorn St76–70
- W@ Toledo76–74
4 days since their last game.
Jax State
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coastal74–67
5 days since their last game.