T-Mobile Center · Neutral site
Closing line
NEB -8.5✓ NEB covered by 3.5
NEB -8.5✓ NEB covered by 3.5Closing total151.5Over by 4.5
| NEB | This season | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 3-1 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 79–73 UNM · ✓ NEB (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 43 | 41 | 84 |
| UNM | 25 | 47 | 72 |
1st half: NEB 43, UNM 25 (NEB by 18). The model had NEB by 3.9 and a total of 71.3 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NEB | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 26-67 39% |
| 13-35 37% | 3-pointers | 13-44 30% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 38 5 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 20 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 33 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 31 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 30 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Rienk Mast F | 30 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 21 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 27 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 4-6 |
| Connor Essegian G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jared Garcia, Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Henry Burt, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Howell G | 33 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Antonio Chol F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Jake Hall G | 28 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-17 | 6-15 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Deyton Albury G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-15 | 1-8 |
| Luke Haupt G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| JT Rock C | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Timeo Pons, Sir Marius Jones, Milos Vicentic, Kallai Patton, Kevin Patton Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -8.5
ModelNEB -6.2
Model edgeUNM +2.3
L NEB covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
W Over
Projected score
NEB 79.1 · UNM 73
NEB 84 · UNM 72
Win probability
NEB 71%
1st half
Spread
NEB -3.9
NEB -18.0
Total
71.3
68 points
Projected score
NEB 37.6 · UNM 33.7
NEB 43 · UNM 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -6.5
2 → NEB
CloseNEB -8.5
2 pts toward NEB
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NEB -400 · UNM +300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -6.5 · closed NEB -8.5 · moved 2 toward NEBmodel NEB -6
model NEB -6
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEBlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
| UNMlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vs
OU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
over 2under 2avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
ETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vs
UTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vs
UCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@
NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
over 2under 2avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma105–99
- Wvs MD Eastern69–50
- Wvs FIU96–66
- Wvs West Georgia86–53
5 days since their last game.
New Mexico
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico St68–76
- Wvs UC Riverside82–68
- Wvs UT Arlington74–56
- Wvs East Texas A&M76–54
5 days since their last game.