Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site
Closing line
UCSD -5.5✓ UCSD covered by 20.5
UCSD -5.5✓ UCSD covered by 20.5Closing total149.5Over by 10.5
 TULN | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 7-1 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TULN 73–80 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| UCSD | 53 | 40 | 93 |
1st half: TULN 31, UCSD 53 (UCSD by 22). The model had UCSD by 3.8 and a total of 71.7 (actual 84).
Team stats
| TULN | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 35-75 47% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 12-34 35% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 50 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| TULN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Brumbaugh G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 8-17 | 2-5 |
| Scotty Middleton F | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Tyler Ringgold F | 29 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Curtis Williams Jr. G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-4 |
| Josiah Moore G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Asher Woods G | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Percy Daniels C | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Greene G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Rasmussen G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Teich, Jake Shapiro, Vasilije Kuridza, Robert Moore, Davion Bradford, Luke Cronin
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 8-18 | 5-8 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 31 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Tom Beattie G | 28 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Aidan Burke G | 26 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Chaikin G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 16 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Trap Johnson G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryder Elisaldez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Vance F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Christopher Cox G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -5.5
ModelUCSD -6.6
Model edgeUCSD +1.1
W UCSD covered
Total
Market149.5
Model153.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
W Over
Projected score
TULN 73.3 · UCSD 79.9
TULN 67 · UCSD 93
Win probability
UCSD 72%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -3.8
UCSD -22.0
Total
71.7
84 points
Projected score
TULN 33.9 · UCSD 37.8
TULN 31 · UCSD 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -5.5
no move
CloseUCSD -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TULN +185 · UCSD -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -5.5 · unchangedmodel UCSD -6.5
model UCSD -6.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULNlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
| UCSDlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 6-2 75% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulane
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −6.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SAM | W 85-72 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs TXST | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 11 | @ UL | W 66-62 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | vs NOLA | L 63-85 | -11.5 | L −33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 21 | vs USU | L 75-96 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs BC | W 93-90 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 28 | vs NICH | W 82-72 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs GRAM | W 65-63 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 6 | vs AKR | L 71-88 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+5.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
−4.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−1.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−33.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
−12.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+5.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+1.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−9.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+2.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
+3.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−5.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
+19.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+42.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+5.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−20.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−3.5
over 5under 4avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
over 5under 3avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulane
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Akron71–88
- Wvs Grambling65–63
- Wvs Nicholls82–72
- Wvs Boston College93–90
- Lvs Utah State75–96
A week or more of rest.
UC San Diego
7-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Long Beach St80–74
- L@ Nevada70–76
- Wvs Towson87–73
- Wvs Bradley87–77
- Wvs Temple91–76
A week or more of rest.