Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse · at Tulane
Closing line
TULN -11.5✓ GRAM covered by 9.5
Closing total148.5Under by 20.5
| This season | TULN | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 5-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GRAM 69–80 TULN · ✓ TULN (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAM | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| TULN | 30 | 35 | 65 |
1st half: GRAM 31, TULN 30 (GRAM by 1). The model had TULN by 6.8 and a total of 69.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| GRAM | TULN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-48 44% | Field goals | 21-54 39% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III F | 39 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Randarius Jones C | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jimel Lane F | 27 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrius Ward G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Jamil Muttilib G | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| P.J. Edwards G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Chancellor Perkins, Mekhi Fitts, Richard Amaefule, Saliou Seye, Nazar Mahmoud
| TULN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Williams Jr. G | 39 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Rowan Brumbaugh G | 37 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Asher Woods G | 34 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Scotty Middleton F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Ringgold F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Percy Daniels C | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Moore G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| KJ Greene G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Vasilije Kuridza, Robert Moore, Joseph Teich, Luke Rasmussen, Luke Cronin, Jake Shapiro, Davion Bradford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTULN -11.5
ModelTULN -11.6
Model edgeTULN +0.1
L GRAM covered
Total
Market148.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
GRAM 68.5 · TULN 80.1
GRAM 63 · TULN 65
Win probability
TULN 84%
1st half
Spread
TULN -6.8
GRAM -1.0
Total
69.6
61 points
Projected score
GRAM 31.4 · TULN 38.2
GRAM 31 · TULN 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTULN -10.5
1 → TULN
CloseTULN -11.5
1 pt toward TULN
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TULN -10.5 · closed TULN -11.5 · moved 1 toward TULNmodel TULN -11.5 matches the line
model TULN -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148.5 matches the line
model 148.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | |
| 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grambling
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
+7.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
+2.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
+1.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
+19.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
−9.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
−3.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
−13.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
+12.5
over 2under 4avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tulane
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +8.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SAM
W 85-72
+5.5
8
vs
TXST
W 79-71
−4.5
11
@
UL
W 66-62
−1.5
14
vs
NOLA
L 63-85
−33.5
21
vs
USU
L 75-96
−12.5
23
vs
BC
W 93-90
+5.5
28
vs
NICH
W 82-72
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SAM
W 85-72
+2.5
8
vs
TXST
W 79-71
+3.5
11
@
UL
W 66-62
−7.5
14
vs
NOLA
L 63-85
−5.5
21
vs
USU
L 75-96
+19.5
23
vs
BC
W 93-90
+42.5
28
vs
NICH
W 82-72
+5.5
over 5under 2avg +8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grambling
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Riverside74–83
- L@ CA Baptist59–72
- L@ San Diego68–78
- Wvs Southern Miss75–70
- W@ Howard73–70
A week or more of rest.
Tulane
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls82–72
- Wvs Boston College93–90
- Lvs Utah State75–96
- Lvs LSU N Orleans63–85
- W@ Louisiana66–62
4 days since their last game.