EagleBank Arena · at George Mason
Closing line
GMU -12.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5
GMU -12.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5Closing total141.5Over by 6.5
 JMU | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 6-0 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 6-1 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 66–80 GMU · ✓ GMU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 35 | 31 | 66 |
| GMU | 32 | 50 | 82 |
1st half: JMU 35, GMU 32 (JMU by 3). The model had GMU by 8.1 and a total of 68.3 (actual 67).
Team stats
| JMU | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-62 37% | Field goals | 24-44 55% |
| 9-31 29% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 28-36 78% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 35 4 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 27 | Fouls | 11 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Douglas G | 37 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 7-17 | 3-8 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 36 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Justin McBride F | 36 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 5-16 | 3-7 |
| Cliff Davis G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Brown F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Paul Jones III G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Preston Fowler F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Paul Lewis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kose Egbule, Ike Cornish, Josh Stephen, Chance Lundy, Justin Taylor
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 37 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 8-15 | 3-9 |
| Jahari Long G | 34 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 31 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Malik Presley G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Masai Troutman G | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Fatt Hill G | 20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Nick Ellington F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden O'Connor, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Isaiah Skinn, Devin Booker, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Stas Sivka
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -12.5
ModelGMU -13.6
Model edgeGMU +1.1
W GMU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
JMU 66.1 · GMU 79.8
JMU 66 · GMU 82
Win probability
GMU 88%
1st half
Spread
GMU -8.1
JMU -3.0
Total
68.3
67 points
Projected score
JMU 30.1 · GMU 38.2
JMU 35 · GMU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -11.5
1 → GMU
CloseGMU -12.5
1 pt toward GMU
Total
Open144.5
▼ 3
Close141.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
JMU +600 · GMU -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -11.5 · closed GMU -12.5 · moved 1 toward GMUmodel GMU -13.5
model GMU -13.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMUlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 6-1 86% |
| GMUlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JMU 1–1 GMUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · JMU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024-25 | GMU 66 @ JMU 61 | JMU +1.5 | GMU W |
| Nov 19, 2021-22 | GMU 64 @ JMU 67 | JMU +2.5 | JMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-1
86% overs · avg +9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vs
COPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@
LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@
LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vs
TOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@
FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vs
OMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
over 6under 1avg +9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vs
WIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vs
UNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vs
JAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vs
OHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vs
FAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
over 2under 4avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha88–77
- W@ FIU80–72
- Wvs Towson81–75
- L@ Long Island79–88
- L@ Longwood72–82
4 days since their last game.
George Mason
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FAU74–65
- Wvs Ohio92–69
- Wvs Jacksonville79–57
- Wvs New Hampshire61–44
- Wvs Winthrop96–90
4 days since their last game.