Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -25.5✓ MICH covered by 15.5
MICH -25.5✓ MICH covered by 15.5Closing total153.5Over by 7.5
 RUTG | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 7-0 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 61–90 MICH · ✓ MICH (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| MICH | 50 | 51 | 101 |
1st half: RUTG 25, MICH 50 (MICH by 25). The model had MICH by 17.4 and a total of 70.9 (actual 75).
Team stats
| RUTG | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-67 36% | Field goals | 39-65 60% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 13-29 45% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 29 14 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 26 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 8 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harun Zrno G | 28 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Dylan Grant F | 25 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Powers G | 20 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5-16 | 3-7 |
| Tariq Francis G | 19 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Lino Mark G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Baye Fall C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gevonte Ware C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Dorian Jones
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 27 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 24 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 9-11 | 2-2 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Aday Mara C | 18 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| L.J. Cason G | 20 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Trey McKenney G | 19 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Will Tschetter F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Winters Grady G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Malick Kordel C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Howard Eisley Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May, Ricky Liburd
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -23.5
2 → MICH
CloseMICH -25.5
2 pts toward MICH
Total
Open144.5
▲ 9
Close153.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -23.5 · closed MICH -25.5 · moved 2 toward MICHmodel MICH -29
model MICH -29
Opened 144.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 9 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -25.5 | MICH -29.1 | MICH +3.6 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 151.5 | Under 2.0 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | RUTG 61.2 · MICH 90.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -17.4 | MICH -25.0 |
| 1H total | 70.9 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | RUTG 26.8 · MICH 44.1 | RUTG 25 · MICH 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTGlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
| MICHlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
RUTG 4–4 MICHSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · MICH has won the last 2 meetings · RUTG 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | RUTG 82 @ MICH 84 | MICH -9.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | MICH 66 @ RUTG 63 | RUTG +6.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | MICH 52 @ RUTG 82 | RUTG -8.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | RUTG 69 @ MICH 59 | MICH -4.5 | RUTG W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | RUTG 62 vs MICH 50 | MICH -1.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
over 4under 5avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +14.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +14.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
over 3under 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
5-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue65–81
- Wvs UNLV80–65
- Lvs Notre Dame63–68
- Lvs Tennessee60–85
- Lvs C Connecticut54–67
4 days since their last game.
Michigan
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gonzaga101–61
- Wvs Auburn102–72
- Wvs San Diego St94–54
- Wvs MTSU86–61
- W@ TCU67–63
A week or more of rest.