Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at West Georgia Wolves: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 6, 2:00 PM ETThe Coliseum · at West Georgia

Final

Closing lineWGA -1.5✓ TNTC covered by 29.5

Closing total150.5Under by 4.5

Season records: Tennessee Tech and West Georgia
TNTC	This season	WGA
1-6	Record	4-3
4-3	ATS	6-1
4-3	O/U	3-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: TNTC 75–79 WGA · ✗ WGA (64%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
TNTC	38	49	87
WGA	33	26	59

1st half: TNTC 38, WGA 33 (TNTC by 5). The model had WGA by 2.4 and a total of 72.0 (actual 71).

Team stats

TNTC		WGA
33-57 58%	Field goals	20-56 36%
8-15 53%	3-pointers	6-21 29%
13-16 81%	Free throws	13-19 68%
35 6 off	Rebounds	28 9 off
18	Assists	15
9	Steals	6
3	Blocks	2
11	Turnovers	14
19	Fouls	12
48	Points in paint	20
20	Fast-break points	9

Players

TNTC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Mekhi Cameron G	30	15	3	1	5-8	2-3
Ty Owens G	25	4	2	4	2-6	0-1
Brandon Muntu G	24	15	2	1	6-9	3-5
Dani Pounds F	22	21	7	2	7-9	1-1
C.J. McPherson G	18	9	2	1	3-4	1-1
Bench
Ja'Quavian Florence G	25	13	6	5	5-7	1-1
Malik Ferguson G	20	2	1	2	1-5	0-1
JaJuan Nicholls F	16	6	6	1	3-4	0-0
Jah'Kim Payne G	16	2	3	1	1-5	0-2
Mekhi Turner F	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Owen Varnado, Maguire Evans, Grant Slatten, Hagan Preston, Jacobe Whitted, Colin Ayers

WGA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kolten Griffin F	29	4	6	2	1-3	0-0
Shelton Williams-Dryden F	28	13	4	0	6-9	1-3
Kenneth Chime PF	24	7	8	0	2-8	0-0
Chas Lewless G	18	2	0	1	0-9	0-5
Brady Hardewig G	13	3	1	1	1-4	1-3
Bench
Xavier Shegog F	24	6	6	1	2-2	1-1
Josh Smith G	23	17	1	4	6-10	2-3
Malcolm Noel G	22	3	0	5	1-5	1-3
Matija Zuzic G	19	4	2	1	1-6	0-3

Did not play: Maddox Fowles, Cameron Merritt, Max Young, Eric Baldassarre, Micah Smith, JaVar Daniel, Nate Jones

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WGA -1.5	WGA -4.3	WGA +2.8	L TNTC covered
Total	150.5	153.7	Over 3.2	L Under
Projected score	—	TNTC 74.7 · WGA 79

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WGA -2.4	TNTC -5.0
1H total	72.0	71
1H projected score	TNTC 34.8 · WGA 37.2	TNTC 38 · WGA 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TNTC LWLLW	4-3	57%	4-2	4-2
WGA WWWWW	6-1	86%	2-0	2-0

Venue/role: TNTC away, as underdog; WGA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
TNTC UOOOO	4-3	57%	1-6
WGA OUUOO	3-4	43%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TNTClast 7	1-6 14%	4-3 57%	4-3 57%
WGAlast 7	4-3 57%	6-1 86%	3-4 43%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

TNTC 1–2 WGAWGA leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · WGA has won the last 2 meetings · TNTC 0-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 17, 2025-26	WGA 61 @ TNTC 59	TNTC -4.5	WGA W
Dec 7, 2024-25	TNTC 73 @ WGA 78	WGA +2.5	WGA W
Nov 12, 2024-25	WGA 73 @ TNTC 76	TNTC -6.5	WGA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Tennessee Tech

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L L L W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

W W L W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-357%

U U U O O O O

4 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WKU	L 70-82	+14.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 7	@CLT	L 65-70	+12.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	vsWGA	L 59-61	-4.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 19	@UPST	W 88-84	+2.5	W +6.5	150.5	O 172
Nov 26	@UK	L 54-104	+37.5	L −12.5	157.5	O 158
Nov 29	@UGA	L 81-123	+34.5	L −7.5	160.5	O 204
Dec 3	@LIP	L 80-83	+10.5	W +7.5	152.5	O 163

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

+2.5

CLT

L 65-70

+7.5

WGA

L 59-61

−6.5

UPST

W 88-84

+6.5

L 54-104

−12.5

UGA

L 81-123

−7.5

LIP

L 80-83

+7.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

−1.5

CLT

L 65-70

−11.5

WGA

L 59-61

−32.5

UPST

W 88-84

+21.5

L 54-104

+0.5

UGA

L 81-123

+43.5

LIP

L 80-83

+10.5

over 4under 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

West Georgia

7 games played

Straight up

4-3

57% wins

Against the spread

6-1

86% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-357%

L L W W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-186%

L W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-443%

U U O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NEB	L 53-86	+24.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 139
Nov 10	@UCLA	L 62-83	+30.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Nov 14	vsCIT	W 100-92	-6.5	W +1.5	150.5	O 192
Nov 17	@TNTC	W 61-59	+4.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 21	vsUPST	W 72-64	-2.5	W +5.5	153.5	U 136
Nov 23	@GT	L 66-82	+18.5	W +2.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 1	@TROY	W 93-89	+17.5	W +21.5	150.5	O 182

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−8.5

UCLA

L 62-83

+9.5

CIT

W 100-92

+1.5

TNTC

W 61-59

+6.5

UPST

W 72-64

+5.5

L 66-82

+2.5

TROY

W 93-89

+21.5

covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−14.5

UCLA

L 62-83

−1.5

CIT

W 100-92

+41.5

TNTC

W 61-59

−32.5

UPST

W 72-64

−17.5

L 66-82

+3.5

TROY

W 93-89

+31.5

over 3under 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Tennessee Tech @ West Georgia

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Tennessee Tech

West Georgia

Tennessee Tech

West Georgia