Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette
Closing line
MONM -1.5✓ MONM covered by 12.5
MONM -1.5✓ MONM covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Over by 20.5
| MONM | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 1-6 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONM 74–69 LAF · ✓ MONM (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONM | 41 | 47 | 88 |
| LAF | 32 | 42 | 74 |
1st half: MONM 41, LAF 32 (MONM by 9). The model had MONM by 2.9 and a total of 67.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MONM | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-49 59% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 8-14 57% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 22-31 71% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 30 5 off | Rebounds | 24 7 off |
| 19 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 37 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Jack Collins G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Andrew Ball F | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Justin Ray G | 23 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 7-7 | 3-3 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 18 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Dok Muordar C | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jinup Dobuol G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| O'Marion Harvey F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quinn Peters, Zubayr Griffin, Lucas Orchard, Corey Miller, Kavion McClain, Jack Leahy
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 36 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Caleb Williams G | 33 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-16 | 4-9 |
| Mark Butler G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 32 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Pettit G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Wallace G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Malik Rasul F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Vander Baan, Beckett Currie, KaiMani Murdock, Luke Azzinaro, Chris Rubayo, Luka Savicevic, Joshua Wyche, TJ Berger
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONM -1.5
ModelMONM -4.6
Model edgeMONM +3.1
W MONM covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
MONM 74 · LAF 69.4
MONM 88 · LAF 74
Win probability
MONM 66%
1st half
Spread
MONM -2.9
MONM -9.0
Total
67.2
73 points
Projected score
MONM 35.1 · LAF 32.1
MONM 41 · LAF 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONM -2.5
1 → LAF
CloseMONM -1.5
1 pt toward LAF
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MONM -135 · LAF +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONM -2.5 · closed MONM -1.5 · moved 1 toward LAFmodel MONM -4.5
model MONM -4.5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONMlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| LAFlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MONM 1–0 LAFMONM leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MONM 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023-24 | MONM 63 vs LAF 53 | LAF +4.5 | MONM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Monmouth
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
LAS
LASL 60-73
−8.5
13
@
HALL
HALLL 58-70
+3.5
18
@
SYR
SYRL 73-78
+16.5
23
vs
RMU
RMUW 71-70
−1.5
28
vs
BALL
BALLW 80-73
+4.5
29
vs
LEM
LEML 79-83
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−10.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
−7.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+5.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−7.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+16.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
+16.5
over 3under 3avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@
TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vs
COR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@
WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@
STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
over 5under 2avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Monmouth
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Le Moyne79–83
- Wvs Ball State80–73
- Wvs Robert Morris71–70
- L@ Syracuse73–78
- L@ Seton Hall58–70
1 day since their last game.
Lafayette
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State55–37
- Lvs Le Moyne63–76
- L@ Stonehill70–74
- L@ West Virginia59–81
- Lvs Cornell78–97
1 day since their last game.