Swinney Center · at Kansas City
Closing line
IDST -5.5✓ IDST covered by 3.5
IDST -5.5✓ IDST covered by 3.5Closing total137.5Under by 10.5
| IDST | This season | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 0-6 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 73–67 KC · ✓ IDST (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 25 | 43 | 68 |
| KC | 29 | 30 | 59 |
1st half: IDST 25, KC 29 (KC by 4). The model had IDST by 3.8 and a total of 66.0 (actual 54).
Team stats
| IDST | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 22-50 44% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Martin Kheil G | 34 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-11 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 33 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 23 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Evan Otten F | 16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 21 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-3 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Quin Patterson F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Landen Birley, Trey Arland, Louis Bond, Kasen Carpenter, Jaedyn Brown
| KC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasheem Grady II G | 38 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Jerome Palm F | 33 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Jayson Petty G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| CJ Evans G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Chris Dockery F | 26 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamaria Clark G | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Baba Mbengue C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| D'Andre Harrison F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kernan Bundy G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Booker-Lowery, Cory Curtis Jr., Karmello Branch, Max Sims, Addarin Scott, Jason Hilliard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIDST -5.5
ModelIDST -6.0
Model edgeIDST +0.5
W IDST covered
Total
Market137.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
IDST 73.4 · KC 67.4
IDST 68 · KC 59
Win probability
IDST 70%
1st half
Spread
IDST -3.8
KC -4.0
Total
66.0
54 points
Projected score
IDST 34.9 · KC 31.1
IDST 25 · KC 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIDST -4.5
1 → IDST
CloseIDST -5.5
1 pt toward IDST
Total
Open140.5
▼ 3
Close137.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
IDST -225 · KC +185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IDST -4.5 · closed IDST -5.5 · moved 1 toward IDSTmodel IDST -6
model IDST -6
Opened 140.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDSTlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| KClast 6 | 0-6 0% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IDST 1–1 KCSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · IDST 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022-23 | IDST 75 @ KC 65 | KC -5.5 | IDST W |
| Nov 22, 2021-22 | KC 74 @ IDST 58 | IDST -2 | KC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +8.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@
SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@
SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@
SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vs
SHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vs
CSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
over 2under 4avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas City
6 games played
Straight up
0-6
0% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SIU
SIUL 78-101
−10.5
11
vs
IONA
IONAL 91-105
−9.5
15
@
TEX
TEXL 55-71
+15.5
19
@
TCU
TCUL 45-81
−12.5
24
@
LIN
LINL 67-80
−8.5
29
@
WEB
WEBL 61-82
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
+37.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
+39.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
−33.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−24.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−5.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−12.5
over 2under 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge82–50
- Lvs Sam Houston81–84
- L@ Santa Clara55–64
- L@ Seattle U74–83
- L@ San Diego St57–73
5 days since their last game.
Kansas City
0-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Weber St61–82
- L@ Lindenwood Lions67–80
- L@ TCU45–81
- L@ Texas55–71
- Lvs Iona91–105
4 days since their last game.