Viejas Arena · at San Diego St
Closing line
SDSU -14.5✓ TROY covered by 15.5
Closing total137.5Over by 77.5
| This season | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 64–77 SDSU · ✗ SDSU (87%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 38 | 51 | 9 | 10 | 108 |
| SDSU | 38 | 51 | 9 | 9 | 107 |
1st half: TROY 38, SDSU 38 (tied). The model had SDSU by 7.7 and a total of 66.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| TROY | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-72 44% | Field goals | 32-68 47% |
| 12-34 35% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 32-43 74% | Free throws | 34-48 71% |
| 41 17 off | Rebounds | 50 20 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 12 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 31 | Fouls | 29 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 46 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 43 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 5-18 | 2-8 |
| Theo Seng F | 33 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Victor Valdes F | 32 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-15 | 1-3 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 30 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Javen Colbert G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corbin Green F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Clarton G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Griffin, Hikaru Awata, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Kameryn Mitchell
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 43 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Miles Byrd G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 29 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 21 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Magoon Gwath F | 28 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| BJ Davis G | 24 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-3 |
| Miles Heide F | 21 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Raymar Gonzales, Thokbor Majak, Cam Lawin, Latrell Davis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -15.5
1 → TROY
CloseSDSU -14.5
1 pt toward TROY
Total
Open141.5
▼ 4
Close137.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TROY +1100 · SDSU -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -15.5 · closed SDSU -14.5 · moved 1 toward TROYmodel SDSU -13
model SDSU -13
Opened 141.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SDSU -14.5 | SDSU -13.0 | TROY +1.5 | W TROY covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 141.5 | Over 4.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TROY 64.3 · SDSU 77.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDSU -7.7 | PK |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | TROY 29.3 · SDSU 37 | TROY 38 · SDSU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | |
| 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TROY 0–1 SDSUSDSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TROY 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022-23 | TROY 55 @ SDSU 60 | SDSU -16.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +12 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
KENT
W 103-97
+9.5
7
@
FUR
W 64-61
+5.5
14
@
LMU
L 63-74
−6.5
16
@
CSUN
L 85-94
−13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
KENT
W 103-97
+57.5
7
@
FUR
W 64-61
−27.5
14
@
LMU
L 63-74
−3.5
16
@
CSUN
L 85-94
+21.5
over 2under 2avg +12 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
+6.5
9
vs
IDST
W 73-57
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
−13.5
9
vs
IDST
W 73-57
−5.5
over 0under 2avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge85–94
- L@ LMU63–74
- W@ Furman64–61
- W@ Kent State103–97
2 days since their last game.
San Diego St
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho St73–57
- Wvs Long Beach St77–45
A week or more of rest.