Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
IOWA -4.5✓ IOWA covered by 0.5
IOWA -4.5✓ IOWA covered by 0.5Closing total140.5Over by 2.5
 MISS | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 5-0 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 75–80 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 31 | 38 | 69 |
| IOWA | 31 | 43 | 74 |
1st half: MISS 31, IOWA 31 (tied). The model had IOWA by 2.7 and a total of 72.7 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MISS | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-49 47% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 39 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| AJ Storr G | 31 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| James Scott F | 26 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Malik Dia F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eduardo Klafke G | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Travis Perry G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Niko Bundalo, Max Smith, Zach Day, Tylis Jordan, Koren Johnson, Hobert Grayson IV
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 9-20 | 6-8 |
| Kael Combs G | 38 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Cooper Koch F | 35 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Tavion Banks G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Isaia Howard G | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tate Sage G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -4.5
ModelIOWA -4.8
Model edgeIOWA +0.3
W IOWA covered
Total
Market140.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 14.8
W Over
Projected score
MISS 75.3 · IOWA 80
MISS 69 · IOWA 74
Win probability
IOWA 66%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -2.7
tied
Total
72.7
62 points
Projected score
MISS 35 · IOWA 37.7
MISS 31 · IOWA 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -2.5
2 → IOWA
CloseIOWA -4.5
2 pts toward IOWA
Total
Open146.5
▼ 6
Close140.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +164 · IOWA -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -2.5 · closed IOWA -4.5 · moved 2 toward IOWAmodel IOWA -5
model IOWA -5
Opened 146.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 6 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISSlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% |
| IOWAlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vs
ULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vs
MEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vs
APSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
over 4under 1avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
RMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vs
WIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vs
XAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vs
SEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vs
CHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
over 3under 2avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Austin Peay72–65
- Wvs Bakersfield82–60
- Wvs Memphis83–77
- Wvs UL Monroe86–65
- Wvs SE Louisiana88–58
A week or more of rest.
Iowa
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chicago St93–54
- Wvs SE Missouri99–70
- Wvs Xavier81–62
- Wvs W Illinois77–58
- Wvs Robert Morris101–69
5 days since their last game.