Leavey Center · at Santa Clara
Closing line
SCU -14.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5
Closing total141.5Under by 22.5
| This season | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 3-0 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 68–84 SCU · ✓ SCU (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| SCU | 30 | 34 | 64 |
1st half: IDST 22, SCU 30 (SCU by 8). The model had SCU by 9.8 and a total of 71.2 (actual 52).
Team stats
| IDST | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-46 39% | Field goals | 23-66 35% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 4-26 15% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 43 19 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 28 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Gus Etchison G | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Evan Otten F | 22 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Kheil G | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Quin Patterson F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaedyn Brown, Landen Birley, Trey Arland, Louis Bond, Kasen Carpenter
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ensminger G | 36 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Mahi F | 33 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Christian Hammond G | 27 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-5 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-5 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Allen Graves F | 28 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Thierry Darlan G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| KJ Cochran G | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-4 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brenton Knapper, Chris Tadjo, Brendan Yarusso, Malachi Douyon, Brad Longcor III, Noah Badibanga, Gehrig Normand, Juan Reyna
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSCU -14.5
ModelSCU -16.5
Model edgeSCU +2.0
L IDST covered
Total
Market141.5
Model151.9
Model edgeOver 10.4
L Under
Projected score
IDST 67.7 · SCU 84.2
IDST 55 · SCU 64
Win probability
SCU 93%
1st half
Spread
SCU -9.8
SCU -8.0
Total
71.2
52 points
Projected score
IDST 30.7 · SCU 40.5
IDST 22 · SCU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSCU -17.5
3 → IDST
CloseSCU -14.5
3 pts toward IDST
Total
Open145.5
▼ 4
Close141.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
IDST +1300 · SCU -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SCU -17.5 · closed SCU -14.5 · moved 3 toward IDSTmodel SCU -16.5
model SCU -16.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | |
| 3-0 100% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
+7.5
9
@
SDSU
L 57-73
+5.5
15
@
SEA
L 74-83
+2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
−13.5
9
@
SDSU
L 57-73
−5.5
15
@
SEA
L 74-83
+18.5
over 1under 2avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Clara
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +12.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
MCN
W 79-67
+5.5
10
@
XAV
W 87-68
+22.5
15
vs
NEV
W 98-83
+8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
MCN
W 79-67
−5.5
10
@
XAV
W 87-68
−0.5
15
vs
NEV
W 98-83
+36.5
over 1under 2avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seattle U74–83
- L@ San Diego St57–73
- W@ San Diego71–68
3 days since their last game.
Santa Clara
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nevada98–83
- W@ Xavier87–68
- Wvs McNeese79–67
3 days since their last game.