Ocean Center · Neutral site
Closing line
BCU -3.5✓ JAX covered by 8.5
BCU -3.5✓ JAX covered by 8.5Closing total143.5Under by 10.5
 JAX | This season | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 72–77 BCU · ✗ BCU (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 30 | 39 | 69 |
| BCU | 30 | 34 | 64 |
1st half: JAX 30, BCU 30 (tied). The model had BCU by 2.4 and a total of 69.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| JAX | BCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 47% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 14-25 56% | Free throws | 12-24 50% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Jones G | 32 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Wood G | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 21 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Sterck G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Chris Arias G | 26 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-7 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Harper Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Enrico Borio F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Simon Wheeler, Jaylen Jordon, Roman Loux, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown, Tito Deng
| BCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady G | 38 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Arterio Morris G | 31 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Quentin Heady F | 27 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Johnson G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Perez-Rouzan F | 23 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ariel Bland F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Seneca Willoughby G | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Rickey Mitchell Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Onanina, Dailon Minor, Trayvon Barbary, Reggie Ward Jr., Simeon Womack, William Gonzalez, Doctor Bradley, Tyler Andrews
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBCU -3.5
ModelBCU -4.2
Model edgeBCU +0.7
L JAX covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
L Under
Projected score
JAX 72.4 · BCU 76.5
JAX 69 · BCU 64
Win probability
BCU 64%
1st half
Spread
BCU -2.4
tied
Total
69.8
60 points
Projected score
JAX 33.7 · BCU 36.1
JAX 30 · BCU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBCU -2.5
1 → BCU
CloseBCU -3.5
1 pt toward BCU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 3
Close143.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
JAX +140 · BCU -165
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BCU -2.5 · closed BCU -3.5 · moved 1 toward BCUmodel BCU -4
model BCU -4
Opened 146.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAXlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| BCUlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@
HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@
VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@
GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
over 1under 3avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bethune
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +13.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
AUB
AUBL 90-95
+19.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 61-101
−23.5
15
@
DAY
DAYL 82-91
+12.5
19
@
OHIO
OHIOW 76-73
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AUB
AUBL 90-95
+31.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 61-101
+7.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 82-91
+24.5
19
@OHIO
OHIOW 76-73
−8.5
over 3under 1avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason57–79
- W@ VMI69–67
- L@ High Point64–85
- L@ Miami69–86
6 days since their last game.
Bethune
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ohio76–73
- L@ Dayton82–91
- L@ Miami61–101
- L@ Auburn90–95
5 days since their last game.