Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -3.5✓ KENN covered by 2.5
MTSU -3.5✓ KENN covered by 2.5Closing total160.5Under by 25.5
 KENN | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 6-1 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KENN 81–85 MTSU · ✓ MTSU (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENN | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| MTSU | 40 | 28 | 68 |
1st half: KENN 31, MTSU 40 (MTSU by 9). The model had MTSU by 2.1 and a total of 77.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| KENN | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-63 37% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 3-20 15% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 24-32 75% |
| 44 18 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 11 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedan Lue F | 35 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Simeon Cottle G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-14 | 1-7 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Amir Taylor F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Ramone Seals F | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankquon Sherman F | 26 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| RJ Johnson G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Trey Simpson F | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Darius Washington III G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Jaden Harris, Davin Cosby Jr., Perry Smith Jr., Eric Holland, Charles Stone, Chase Clemmons
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 35 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 8-18 | 2-7 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-4 |
| Tre Green G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Torey Alston F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Chris Loofe F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 25 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle, James Dent Jr., Marcus Whitlock Jr., Jarred Hall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -3.5
ModelMTSU -3.7
Model edgeMTSU +0.2
L KENN covered
Total
Market160.5
Model165.4
Model edgeOver 4.9
L Under
Projected score
KENN 80.8 · MTSU 84.5
KENN 67 · MTSU 68
Win probability
MTSU 63%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -2.1
MTSU -9.0
Total
77.4
71 points
Projected score
KENN 37.6 · MTSU 39.7
KENN 31 · MTSU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -3.5
no move
CloseMTSU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
KENN +145 · MTSU -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel MTSU -3.5 matches the line
model MTSU -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENNlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% | 6-1 86% |
| MTSUlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KENN 0–2 MTSUMTSU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 2 meetings · KENN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MTSU 76 @ KENN 75 | KENN -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | KENN 79 @ MTSU 84 | MTSU -9.5 | KENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kennesaw St
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-1
86% overs · avg +12.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ FAMU | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs USF | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs RICE | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORU | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ FGCU | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs JKST | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs GAST | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
+8.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
−11.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+0.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
−16.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+3.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
−0.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
−2.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
+19.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+13.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
+7.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+41.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
+3.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+2.5
over 6under 1avg +12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@
EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@
MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vs
MUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vs
GW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vs
MCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vs
UAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vs
BEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
over 3under 4avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kennesaw St
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St92–69
- Wvs Jackson St88–73
- W@ FGCU102–100
- Lvs Oral Roberts83–91
- Wvs Rice89–84
A week or more of rest.
MTSU
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Belmont62–83
- Wvs UAB76–61
- Lvs McNeese62–72
- Lvs G Washington79–92
- Wvs Murray St90–87
A week or more of rest.