Halton Arena · at Charlotte
Closing line
USU -10.5✓ USU covered by 15.5
USU -10.5✓ USU covered by 15.5Closing total139.5Under by 7.5
| USU | This season | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 3-5 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 78–68 CLT · ✓ USU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 44 | 35 | 79 |
| CLT | 30 | 23 | 53 |
1st half: USU 44, CLT 30 (USU by 14). The model had USU by 6.4 and a total of 68.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| USU | CLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 18-51 35% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 11-20 55% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 35 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 8 |
| 12 | Steals | 0 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 31 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 7-12 | 0-3 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-3 |
| Drake Allen G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Garry Clark F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Karson Templin F | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke Kearney F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe, David Iweze
| CLT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dezayne Mingo G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Spencer Elliott F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ben Bradford G | 24 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Anton Bonke C | 24 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Arden Conyers F | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kylan Blackmon G | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Major Freeman G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kuluel Mading C | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Butler F | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damoni Harrison G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Nick Richart F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Bailey F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frank Oguche, David Gomez, Jarne Elouna Eyenga, Raúl Villar
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -10.5
ModelUSU -10.3
Model edgeCLT +0.2
L USU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model145.7
Model edgeOver 6.2
L Under
Projected score
USU 78 · CLT 67.7
USU 79 · CLT 53
Win probability
USU 82%
1st half
Spread
USU -6.4
USU -14.0
Total
68.2
74 points
Projected score
USU 37.3 · CLT 30.9
USU 44 · CLT 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -10.5
no move
CloseUSU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 4
Close139.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
USU -600 · CLT +440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -10.5 · unchangedmodel USU -10.5 matches the line
model USU -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
| CLTlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USU 1–0 CLTUSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · USU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024-25 | CLT 74 @ USU 103 | USU -13.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
over 3under 4avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Charlotte
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs INST | W 92-76 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TNTC | W 70-65 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vsDAV | L 55-62 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 16 | @ VT | L 76-84 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | @ APP | L 63-65 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 27 | vs ILST | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs RICH | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | vs NCAT | W 74-57 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+11.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−7.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−8.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+10.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−0.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
−4.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
+1.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+15.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−11.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−26.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+14.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−4.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
+8.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
−4.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
−13.5
over 3under 5avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Florida61–74
- Wvs Montana St84–81
- Wvs Davidson94–60
- Wvs Tulane96–75
- Wvs UTEP75–51
3 days since their last game.
Charlotte
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC A&T74–57
- Lvs Richmond66–71
- Lvs Illinois St69–79
- L@ App State63–65
- L@ Virginia Tech76–84
5 days since their last game.