McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa
Closing line
UNI -8.5✓ UNI covered by 3.5
UNI -8.5✓ UNI covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Under by 11.5
 OAK | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 8-1 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OAK 72–79 UNI · ✓ UNI (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| UNI | 38 | 37 | 75 |
1st half: OAK 30, UNI 38 (UNI by 8). The model had UNI by 3.8 and a total of 70.6 (actual 68).
Team stats
| OAK | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 37 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Ziare Wells G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Garrett F | 34 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 34 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Michael Houge F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brett White II G | 26 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Warren Marshall IV G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nate Deer F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donny Yeager, MJ Yeager, William Kassi, Hamoudy Mashhour, Nassim Mashhour
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 9-14 | 3-6 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 35 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Trey Campbell G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Will Hornseth F | 29 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Smith F | 25 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Pock F | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| RJ Taylor G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Courbat, Levi Valdo, Hunter Jacobson, Jalen Wilson, Cade Courbat, Marino Dubravcic, Max Weisbrod, Redek Born
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -8.5
ModelUNI -6.5
Model edgeOAK +2.0
L UNI covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
L Under
Projected score
OAK 72.1 · UNI 78.6
OAK 63 · UNI 75
Win probability
UNI 71%
1st half
Spread
UNI -3.8
UNI -8.0
Total
70.6
68 points
Projected score
OAK 33.4 · UNI 37.2
OAK 30 · UNI 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -7.5
1 → UNI
CloseUNI -8.5
1 pt toward UNI
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
OAK +310 · UNI -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -7.5 · closed UNI -8.5 · moved 1 toward UNImodel UNI -6.5
model UNI -6.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAKlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% | 8-1 89% |
| UNIlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oakland
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-1
89% overs · avg +17.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ PUR | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ HOU | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCF | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ EMU | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs LAM | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ MONT | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs PFW | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs TOL | W 98-97 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+21.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−2.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+9.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
−7.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+11.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+12.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+4.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+5.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+6.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
+34.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+2.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+19.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+30.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
+28.5
over 8under 1avg +17.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −11.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
over 2under 6avg −11.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oakland
4-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Toledo98–97
- Wvs Purdue FW101–92
- W@ Montana95–87
- Wvs Lamar83–68
- L@ E Michigan91–97
A week or more of rest.
Northern Iowa
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wichita St69–74
- Lvs Tulsa60–63
- Wvs Loyola Chicago72–51
- W@ UC Irvine70–69
- Wvs N Illinois70–57
A week or more of rest.