Trask Coliseum · Neutral site
Closing line
NAVY -10.5✓ NAVY covered by 22.5
NAVY -10.5✓ NAVY covered by 22.5Closing total153.5Under by 18.5
| NAVY | This season | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 0-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAVY 83–70 GWEB · ✓ NAVY (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 41 | 43 | 84 |
| GWEB | 29 | 22 | 51 |
1st half: NAVY 41, GWEB 29 (NAVY by 12). The model had NAVY by 8.0 and a total of 72.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| NAVY | GWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-57 51% | Field goals | 19-51 37% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 4-25 16% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 23 6 off |
| 20 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Kehoe C | 35 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Austin Benigni G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Donovan Draper F | 30 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Mike Woods F | 26 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Pennick G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Cam Cole G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cam Cormany G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jerry Ashley Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Burnett G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Krist G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Nyles Howard G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Julian Gabbidon G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Pollock, Steven McLeod, Tobi Raji, Matt Gaffney, Jordan McConnell, Luke Morgan, C.J. Kearns, Owen Gray, Cooper Jackson, Davyn de Jongh, Julien King, Reiss Whitaker
| GWEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Hawkins G | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Spence Sims G | 29 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Hogarth F | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Ace Talbert G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Curtis Williams III G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Hudson G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Julius Clark G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| NaVuan Peterson F | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| DJ Jefferson G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jamias Ferere G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ahmadou Ndiaye G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton King, Riek Riek, Cameron Gales, Isaiah Hicks, Paul Lindberg
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -10.5
ModelNAVY -12.9
Model edgeNAVY +2.4
W NAVY covered
Total
Market153.5
Model153.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
NAVY 83.3 · GWEB 70.4
NAVY 84 · GWEB 51
Win probability
NAVY 87%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -8.0
NAVY -12.0
Total
72.0
70 points
Projected score
NAVY 40 · GWEB 32
NAVY 41 · GWEB 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -12.5
2 → GWEB
CloseNAVY -10.5
2 pts toward GWEB
Total
Open156.5
▼ 3
Close153.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NAVY -650 · GWEB +470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -12.5 · closed NAVY -10.5 · moved 2 toward GWEBmodel NAVY -13
model NAVY -13
Opened 156.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 downmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVYlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| GWEBlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Navy
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vs
YALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@
PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@
UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vs
NJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
over 2under 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gardner-Webb
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MINN
MINNL 60-87
+1.5
7
@
CLEM
CLEML 59-97
−8.5
15
@
ELON
ELONL 84-95
+2.5
18
@
DEP
DEPL 62-93
−9.5
22
@
RICH
RICHL 67-102
−15.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
−1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
+10.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+24.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−0.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
+14.5
over 3under 2avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Navy
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NJIT86–70
- L@ North Carolina61–73
- L@ Penn State71–80
- Lvs Yale68–97
- W@ Presbyterian76–55
4 days since their last game.
Gardner-Webb
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Richmond67–102
- L@ DePaul62–93
- L@ Elon84–95
- L@ Clemson59–97
- L@ Minnesota60–87
4 days since their last game.