Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana
Closing line
IU -10.5✓ IU covered by 6.5
Closing total164.5Under by 9.5
| This season | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 5-0 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 6-0 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 78–84 IU · ✓ IU (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 27 | 42 | 69 |
| IU | 39 | 47 | 86 |
1st half: KSU 27, IU 39 (IU by 12). The model had IU by 3.4 and a total of 75.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| KSU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7-18 | 0-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 22 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| CJ Jones G | 23 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-4 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dorin Buca C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Osei F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Taj Manning F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marcus Johnson, Exavier Wilson
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 36 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Conor Enright G | 31 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 31 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Reed Bailey F | 29 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 26 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Sisley F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Nick Dorn G | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Sam Alexis F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Stephens G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tryce Grensing G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Snively G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordan Rayford, Josh Harris, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Deuce Drake
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -8.5
2 → IU
CloseIU -10.5
2 pts toward IU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 9
Close164.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +410 · IU -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -8.5 · closed IU -10.5 · moved 2 toward IUmodel IU -6
model IU -6
Opened 155.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 9 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IU -10.5 | IU -5.9 | KSU +4.6 | L IU covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 161.2 | Under 3.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | KSU 77.6 · IU 83.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IU -3.4 | IU -12.0 |
| 1H total | 75.5 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | KSU 36 · IU 39.4 | KSU 27 · IU 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 6-0 100% | |
| 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-0
100% overs · avg +9.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
−3.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
−11.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+23.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+8.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
+0.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
+30.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
+6.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+10.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+2.5
over 6under 0avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
AAMU
W 98-51
+16.5
9
vs
MARQ
W 100-77
+19.5
12
vs
MILW
W 101-70
+6.5
16
vs
UIW
W 69-61
−20.5
20
vs
LIN
W 73-53
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
AAMU
W 98-51
+1.5
9
vs
MARQ
W 100-77
+20.5
12
vs
MILW
W 101-70
+5.5
16
vs
UIW
W 69-61
−27.5
20
vs
LIN
W 73-53
−29.5
over 3under 2avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nebraska85–86
- Wvs Mississippi St98–77
- Wvs Tulsa84–83
- Wvs California99–96
- Wvs Bellarmine98–71
4 days since their last game.
Indiana
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions73–53
- Wvs Incarnate Word69–61
- Wvs Milwaukee101–70
- Wvs Marquette100–77
- Wvs Alabama A&M98–51
5 days since their last game.