Mackey Arena · at Purdue
Closing line
PUR -4.5✓ ISU covered by 27.5
PUR -4.5✓ ISU covered by 27.5Closing total154.5Under by 15.5
 ISU | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | Record | 8-0 |
| 6-2 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 77–81 PUR · ✗ PUR (62%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 35 | 46 | 81 |
| PUR | 31 | 27 | 58 |
1st half: ISU 35, PUR 31 (ISU by 4). The model had PUR by 2.0 and a total of 74.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| ISU | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-61 54% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 6-14 43% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 33 15 off |
| 19 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 36 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 8-17 | 3-7 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 30 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 22 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eric Mulder, Cade Kelderman, Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 36 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 28 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| C.J. Cox G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 23 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jack Benter G | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Omer Mayer G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Liam Murphy F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Antione West Jr, Jace Rayl, Sam King, Aaron Fine, Jack Lusk, Raleigh Burgess
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -4.5
no move
ClosePUR -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 4
Close154.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ISU +190 · PUR -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -4.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -3.5
model PUR -3.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 4 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -4.5 | PUR -3.5 | ISU +1.0 | W ISU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 158.1 | Over 3.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ISU 77.3 · PUR 80.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -2.0 | ISU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 74.0 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | ISU 36 · PUR 38 | ISU 35 · PUR 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISUlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 6-2 75% | 6-2 75% |
| PURlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +8.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +12 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
over 6under 2avg +12 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
over 3under 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
8-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St132–68
- Wvs Syracuse95–64
- Wvs Creighton78–60
- Wvs St John's83–82
- Wvs Stonehill96–57
3 days since their last game.
Purdue
8-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rutgers81–65
- Wvs E Illinois109–62
- Wvs Texas Tech86–56
- Wvs Memphis80–71
- Wvs Akron97–79
4 days since their last game.