First Bank & Trust Arena · at S Dakota St · Conference game
Closing line
SDST -8.5✓ DEN covered by 0.5
SDST -8.5✓ DEN covered by 0.5Closing total162.5Over by 3.5
 DEN | This season | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 5-9 |
| 10-4 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 14-0 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 78–86 SDST · ✓ SDST (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 35 | 44 | 79 |
| SDST | 33 | 54 | 87 |
1st half: DEN 35, SDST 33 (DEN by 2). The model had SDST by 4.4 and a total of 76.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| DEN | SDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-69 43% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 39 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 10-22 | 5-9 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 39 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-22 | 1-9 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 37 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 35 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shaun Wysocki F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Julius Rollins G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Didier Maleng F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Loch Cunningham, Josh Lee, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Jackson G | 35 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Joe Sayler G | 35 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7-17 | 1-4 |
| Kalen Garry G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Mors F | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bubz Alvarez G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Alec Squires C | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Haertle G | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Rogers, Davis Kern, Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Andrell Burton Jr., Trey Buchanan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDST -6.5
2 → SDST
CloseSDST -8.5
2 pts toward SDST
Total
Open166.5
▼ 4
Close162.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +300 · SDST -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDST -6.5 · closed SDST -8.5 · moved 2 toward SDSTmodel SDST -7.5
model SDST -7.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 4 downmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SDST -8.5 | SDST -7.5 | DEN +1.0 | W DEN covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 163.4 | Over 0.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DEN 78 · SDST 85.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDST -4.4 | DEN -2.0 |
| 1H total | 76.5 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 36.1 · SDST 40.4 | DEN 35 · SDST 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 10-0 100% |
| SDST | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DEN 2–7 SDSTSDST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DEN 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | SDST 62 @ DEN 78 | DEN +8.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | DEN 70 @ SDST 91 | SDST -15.5 | SDST W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | DEN 68 vs SDST 76 | SDST -9.5 | DEN W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | DEN 70 @ SDST 97 | SDST -9.5 | SDST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SDST 80 @ DEN 99 | DEN +3.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-0
100% overs · avg +14.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs KC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 4 | @ STMN | L 88-92 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+16.5
over 14under 0avg +14.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Dakota St
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vsWYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 19 | @ MILW | L 87-88 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ARIZ | L 71-99 | +31.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 1 | vs OMA | W 84-69 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ UND | L 87-90 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
−2.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+3.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+5.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
+23.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+10.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+0.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
+24.5
over 8under 6avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
5-9 overall · 1-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St Thomas88–92
- Wvs Kansas City87–74
- L@ Tulsa85–90
- W@ N Colorado86–79
- Lvs Fullerton86–105
4 days since their last game.
S Dakota St
5-9 overall · 1-1 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Dakota87–90
- Wvs Omaha84–69
- L@ Arizona71–99
- L@ Milwaukee87–88
- Lvs Wyoming72–87
5 days since their last game.