Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -7.5✓ PAC covered by 1.5
CAL -7.5✓ PAC covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Under by 16.5
 PAC | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 7-1 |
| 6-2 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 69–80 CAL · ✓ CAL (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| CAL | 36 | 31 | 67 |
1st half: PAC 27, CAL 36 (CAL by 9). The model had CAL by 6.6 and a total of 69.5 (actual 63).
Team stats
| PAC | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-62 37% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 13-23 57% |
| 42 18 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Jack F | 38 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Elias Ralph F | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-3 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 33 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Clayton G | 35 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Mpiana, Noah Budu, Augustas Brazdeikis, Emmanuel Manyuon, Eyal Harel, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden F | 32 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 31 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Justin Pippen G | 30 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Lee Dort F | 29 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 26 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Bell F | 22 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| Milos Ilic C | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Semetri Carr G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Butler, BJ Fisher, Jorell Clark, Mantas Kocanas, Stephon Marbury II, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis, Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -11.5
4 → PAC
CloseCAL -7.5
4 pts toward PAC
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PAC +310 · CAL -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -11.5 · closed CAL -7.5 · moved 4 toward PACmodel CAL -11
model CAL -11
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CAL -7.5 | CAL -11.1 | CAL +3.6 | L PAC covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 148.5 | Over 4.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PAC 68.7 · CAL 79.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CAL -6.6 | CAL -9.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | PAC 31.5 · CAL 38 | PAC 27 · CAL 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAClast 8 | 6-2 75% | 6-2 75% | 2-6 25% |
| CALlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PAC 1–1 CALSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · PAC 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023-24 | PAC 87 @ CAL 79 | CAL -10.5 | PAC W |
| Dec 22, 2021-22 | PAC 53 @ CAL 73 | CAL -8.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
over 2under 6avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vsCSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vsSAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
over 3under 5avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force80–65
- Wvs Sacramento St68–54
- Wvs Jacksonville68–53
- Wvs Stony Brook86–58
- L@ FAU59–82
3 days since their last game.
California
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah79–72
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Wvs Sacramento St91–67
- Wvs Presbyterian67–57
- L@ Kansas St96–99
4 days since their last game.