Conte Forum · at Boston College
Closing line
BC -12.5✓ LEM covered by 4.5
BC -12.5✓ LEM covered by 4.5Closing total146.5Under by 10.5
 LEM | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | Record | 6-6 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 3-9 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LEM 68–82 BC · ✓ BC (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 29 | 35 | 64 |
| BC | 30 | 42 | 72 |
1st half: LEM 29, BC 30 (BC by 1). The model had BC by 8.3 and a total of 70.3 (actual 59).
Team stats
| LEM | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-63 37% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 43 12 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| LEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shilo Jackson F | 38 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 9-17 | 0-0 |
| Deng Garang G | 37 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-6 |
| Trent Mosquera G | 36 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-15 | 2-11 |
| Jakai Sanders G | 17 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Jakob Blakley G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Greenberg G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Tennessee Rainwater F | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Samuel Hincapie G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Lee G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Nyakundi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nate Fouts, Kaelin Thomas, Ametri Moss, Sam Donnelly, Trevor Roe
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 8-19 | 3-6 |
| Fred Payne G | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 8-17 | 5-10 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 28 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Luka Toews G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Boden Kapke F | 24 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Chase Forte G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jason Asemota F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack DiDonna, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBC -12.5
ModelBC -14.1
Model edgeBC +1.6
L LEM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model150.1
Model edgeOver 3.6
L Under
Projected score
LEM 68 · BC 82.1
LEM 64 · BC 72
Win probability
BC 89%
1st half
Spread
BC -8.3
BC -1.0
Total
70.3
59 points
Projected score
LEM 31 · BC 39.3
LEM 29 · BC 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBC -12.5
no move
CloseBC -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LEM +650 · BC -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BC -12.5 · unchangedmodel BC -14
model BC -14
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| BC | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Le Moyne
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ XAV | L 69-74 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ BGSU | L 60-83 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | @ MASS | L 80-94 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs NIA | W 74-68 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs FAIR | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 28 | @ LAF | W 76-63 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs MONM | W 83-79 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | vs BALL | L 85-96 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | @ BING | W 78-63 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ TEX | L 53-95 | +29.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ SBU | L 81-92 | +21.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@XAV
XAVL 69-74
+19.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@MASS
MASSL 80-94
+2.5
17
vsNIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
22
vsFAIR
FAIRL 83-97
−12.5
28
@LAF
LAFW 76-63
+17.5
29
vsMONM
MONMW 83-79
+10.5
30
vsBALL
BALLL 85-96
−12.5
6
@BING
BINGW 78-63
+12.5
16
@TEX
TEXL 53-95
−12.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 81-92
+10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@XAV
XAVL 69-74
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@MASS
MASSL 80-94
+20.5
17
vsNIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
22
vsFAIR
FAIRL 83-97
+34.5
28
@LAF
LAFW 76-63
−12.5
29
vsMONM
MONMW 83-79
+16.5
30
vsBALL
BALLL 85-96
+40.5
6
@BING
BINGW 78-63
−3.5
16
@TEX
TEXL 53-95
−4.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 81-92
+21.5
over 6under 5avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
3-9
25% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vsMASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 9avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
over 5under 7avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Le Moyne
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St Bonaventure81–92
- L@ Texas53–95
- W@ Binghamton78–63
- Lvs Ball State85–96
- Wvs Monmouth83–79
A week or more of rest.
Boston College
6-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FDU72–61
- Lvs UMass74–76
- Wvs New Haven67–63
- Lvs LSU69–78
- Wvs Harvard73–60
6 days since their last game.