Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
SHU -1.5✓ SHU covered by 5.5
SHU -1.5✓ SHU covered by 5.5Closing total152.5Over by 14.5
| SHU | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 2-6 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHU 77–78 MSM · ✗ MSM (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHU | 51 | 36 | 87 |
| MSM | 45 | 35 | 80 |
1st half: SHU 51, MSM 45 (SHU by 6). The model had MSM by 0.7 and a total of 72.5 (actual 96).
Team stats
| SHU | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 13-34 38% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 24-28 86% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 38 15 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SHU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashon Gittens G | 36 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Mekhi Conner G | 35 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Yann Farell F | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Anquan Hill F | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer G | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Slaughter G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Abdou Yadd F | 27 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 7-15 | 5-8 |
| Taj Bryant G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Pikiell, Jeremiah Jacobs, Mooda Gittens, Alex Woodring, Fallou Gueye, Malik Sheppard, Griffin Barrouk, Lucius Gibson-Savadel
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlandus Keyes G | 34 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 6-14 | 1-8 |
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 33 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 30 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Luke McEldon F | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 24 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Jaxon Hartman, Justin May, John Miller IV, Anthony Arrington Jr., Trey Deveaux
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSHU -1.5
ModelMSM -1.3
Model edgeMSM +2.8
L SHU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
SHU 76.7 · MSM 78.1
SHU 87 · MSM 80
Win probability
MSM 55%
1st half
Spread
MSM -0.7
SHU -6.0
Total
72.5
96 points
Projected score
SHU 35.9 · MSM 36.5
SHU 51 · MSM 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -1.5
3 → SHU
CloseSHU -1.5
3 pts toward SHU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SHU -125 · MSM +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -1.5 · closed SHU -1.5 · moved 3 toward SHUmodel MSM -1.5
model MSM -1.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHUlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| MSMlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHU 1–2 MSMMSM leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · SHU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | SHU 71 @ MSM 73 | MSM -3.5 | SHU W |
| Feb 24, 2021-22 | MSM 65 @ SHU 77 | SHU +2.5 | SHU W |
| Jan 21, 2021-22 | SHU 59 @ MSM 98 | MSM -2.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacred Heart
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+0.5
11
@
VILL
VILLL 60-94
−14.5
15
@
QUC
QUCL 64-81
−11.5
21
vs
HC
HCW 79-66
+5.5
24
@
CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+1.5
29
@
PSU
PSUL 59-90
−16.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+14.5
11
@VILL
VILLL 60-94
−6.5
15
@QUC
QUCL 64-81
−20.5
21
vsHC
HCW 79-66
−7.5
24
@CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+70.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 59-90
−11.5
over 2under 4avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
over 3under 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacred Heart
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Penn State59–90
- L@ C Connecticut106–108
- Wvs Holy Cross79–66
- L@ Queens University Royals64–81
- L@ Villanova60–94
4 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Howard79–75
- L@ Ohio State60–113
- L@ W Michigan60–83
- L@ Maryland90–95
- L@ Cincinnati55–72
4 days since their last game.