Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys
Closing line
MSM -2.5✓ MSM covered by 1.5
MSM -2.5✓ MSM covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Over by 7.5
 HOW | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 1-6 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 1-5 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOW 72–75 MSM · ✓ MSM (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 43 | 32 | 75 |
| MSM | 45 | 34 | 79 |
1st half: HOW 43, MSM 45 (MSM by 2). The model had MSM by 1.8 and a total of 68.5 (actual 88).
Team stats
| HOW | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-68 38% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 42 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harris G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-16 | 1-6 |
| Alex Cotton G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-15 | 3-11 |
| Cam Gillus G | 32 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 29 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Ose Okojie G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 25 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Ed Holland III G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Johnson G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| BJ Powell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: River Smith, Julian Johnson, Shane Frazier, Stefan Isailovic, Calvin Robins Jr., Cedric Taylor III
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 35 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Justin Amadi F | 34 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Luke McEldon F | 30 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Trey Deveaux, Abdou Khadre Kebe, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anthony Arrington Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSM -2.5
ModelMSM -3.2
Model edgeMSM +0.7
W MSM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model146.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
L Over
Projected score
HOW 71.5 · MSM 74.7
HOW 75 · MSM 79
Win probability
MSM 61%
1st half
Spread
MSM -1.8
MSM -2.0
Total
68.5
88 points
Projected score
HOW 33.3 · MSM 35.1
HOW 43 · MSM 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -3.5
1 → HOW
CloseMSM -2.5
1 pt toward HOW
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOW +114 · MSM -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -3.5 · closed MSM -2.5 · moved 1 toward HOWmodel MSM -3
model MSM -3
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOWlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 1-5 17% |
| MSMlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HOW 2–2 MSMSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · HOW 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024-25 | MSM 79 @ HOW 75 | HOW -7.5 | MSM W |
| Nov 25, 2023-24 | HOW 87 @ MSM 83 | MSM +2.5 | HOW W |
| Dec 21, 2022-23 | MSM 62 @ HOW 63 | HOW -2.5 | MSM W |
| Nov 30, 2021-22 | HOW 70 @ MSM 72 | MSM -4.5 | HOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Howard
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vs
GRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@
STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vs
NIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@
DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
over 1under 5avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vs
BUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@
SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@
CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@
MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@
WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@
OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
over 2under 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Howard
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke56–93
- Wvs Niagara80–70
- L@ Stetson60–64
- Wvs Alcorn St72–64
- Lvs Grambling70–73
6 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State60–113
- L@ W Michigan60–83
- L@ Maryland90–95
- L@ Cincinnati55–72
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves74–66
4 days since their last game.