Koessler Athletic Center · at Canisius
Closing line
BUF -9.5✓ BUF covered by 8.5
BUF -9.5✓ BUF covered by 8.5Closing total139.5Under by 15.5
| BUF | This season | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-0 | Record | 3-3 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUF 77–67 CAN · ✓ BUF (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| CAN | 29 | 24 | 53 |
1st half: BUF 34, CAN 29 (BUF by 5). The model had BUF by 5.7 and a total of 67.5 (actual 63).
Team stats
| BUF | CAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 20-54 37% |
| 13-35 37% | 3-pointers | 3-20 15% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Freitag G | 35 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 7-15 | 6-13 |
| Ryan Sabol G | 33 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 6-15 | 5-12 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Tim Oboh F | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Jones G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aleksa Vlajic F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matas Buteliauskas F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Romano, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic
| CAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil Singleton G | 36 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Mike Evbagharu G | 35 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Bryan Ndjonga F | 34 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Javantae Edwards G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Myles Wilmoth F | 24 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brendan Oliver F | 20 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Max Jusianiec G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Kumu G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andreo Ash, Zach Christian, Trevor Augustine, King Ijeoma, Evan van der Plas, Nicco DiGiulio, Anthony Benard, Marcus Niblack
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBUF -9.5
ModelBUF -9.2
Model edgeCAN +0.3
L BUF covered
Total
Market139.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
BUF 76.6 · CAN 67.4
BUF 71 · CAN 53
Win probability
BUF 79%
1st half
Spread
BUF -5.7
BUF -5.0
Total
67.5
63 points
Projected score
BUF 36.6 · CAN 30.9
BUF 34 · CAN 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUF -6.5
3 → BUF
CloseBUF -9.5
3 pts toward BUF
Total
Open142.5
▼ 3
Close139.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUF -6.5 · closed BUF -9.5 · moved 3 toward BUFmodel BUF -9
model BUF -9
Opened 142.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% |
| CANlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BUF 1–1 CANSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · BUF 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022-23 | CAN 66 @ BUF 86 | BUF -5.5 | BUF W |
| Dec 18, 2021-22 | BUF 64 vs CAN 65 | CAN +16.5 | CAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Buffalo
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
USM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vs
GB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
11
@
DEP
DEPW 66-53
+31.5
18
vs
UVM
UVMW 94-90
+5.5
24
vs
VMI
VMIW 78-70
+2.5
26
vs
BUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
−34.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+42.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
−2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
over 3under 3avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Canisius
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
DAY
DAYL 48-88
−14.5
8
@
SBU
SBUL 70-89
+2.5
12
vs
MERC
MERCW 58-55
+4.5
17
@
HPU
HPUL 50-93
−19.5
21
vs
UMES
UMESW 60-57
−0.5
23
vs
BING
BINGW 75-66
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−6.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+22.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
−22.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−9.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−11.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Buffalo
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell73–71
- Wvs VMI78–70
- Wvs Vermont94–90
- W@ DePaul66–53
- Wvs Green Bay83–76
3 days since their last game.
Canisius
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Binghamton75–66
- Wvs MD Eastern60–57
- L@ High Point50–93
- Wvs Mercyhurst58–55
- L@ St Bonaventure70–89
6 days since their last game.