CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St
Closing line
ILST -12.5✓ EKU covered by 1.5
ILST -12.5✓ EKU covered by 1.5Closing total154.5Over by 12.5
 EKU | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 0-6 | Record | 5-2 |
| 0-6 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EKU 70–84 ILST · ✓ ILST (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EKU | 41 | 37 | 78 |
| ILST | 49 | 40 | 89 |
1st half: EKU 41, ILST 49 (ILST by 8). The model had ILST by 7.9 and a total of 72.0 (actual 90).
Team stats
| EKU | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 29 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-8 |
| Austin Ball F | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Yvens Paul F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Montavious Myrick F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| MJ Williams G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Turner Buttry G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Holt G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jayden Harris F | 21 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Jackson G | 13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Mason Miles, Asa White, Rydge Beverly, Trey Coles, Amarr Knox, Jalen Cooper
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 36 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 7-10 | 3-6 |
| Ty Pence G | 32 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 31 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Chase Walker F | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Mason Klabo G | 19 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Moore G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Landon Wolf G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen, Ty'Reek Coleman, Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketILST -12.5
ModelILST -13.3
Model edgeILST +0.8
L EKU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model153.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
L Over
Projected score
EKU 70.3 · ILST 83.6
EKU 78 · ILST 89
Win probability
ILST 88%
1st half
Spread
ILST -7.9
ILST -8.0
Total
72.0
90 points
Projected score
EKU 32.1 · ILST 39.9
EKU 41 · ILST 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -15.5
3 → EKU
CloseILST -12.5
3 pts toward EKU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 1
Close154.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
EKU +700 · ILST -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -15.5 · closed ILST -12.5 · moved 3 toward EKUmodel ILST -13.5
model ILST -13.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EKUlast 6 | 0-6 0% | 0-6 0% | 4-2 67% |
| ILSTlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Kentucky
6 games played
Straight up
0-6
0% wins
Against the spread
0-6
0% covers · avg −6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vs
WKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@
VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@
KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vs
MER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@
NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
29
vs
WOF
WOFL 77-83
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 6avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
+6.5
over 4under 2avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vs
COR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vs
USC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@
LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vs
CCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vs
CLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vs
FUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
over 2under 5avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Kentucky
0-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wofford77–83
- L@ N Kentucky71–82
- Lvs Mercer83–95
- L@ Kent State78–93
- L@ Vanderbilt62–92
4 days since their last game.
Illinois St
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Furman72–65
- Wvs Charlotte79–69
- Wvs Coastal94–42
- W@ Long Beach St82–80
- Lvs USC67–87
5 days since their last game.