Cabot Center · at Northeastern
Closing line
NE -1.5✓ NE covered by 15.5
NE -1.5✓ NE covered by 15.5Closing total138.5Under by 9.5
 CCSU | This season | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 70–74 NE · ✓ NE (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 21 | 35 | 56 |
| NE | 35 | 38 | 73 |
1st half: CCSU 21, NE 35 (NE by 14). The model had NE by 2.3 and a total of 67.2 (actual 56).
Team stats
| CCSU | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-63 33% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 43 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 38 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-12 | 1-7 |
| James Jones G | 29 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Max Frazier F | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Parker G | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Spinelli G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Daniel James F | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nico Ashley F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corsley Edwards Jr., Rashawn Tibby, Roddy Jones, Jayden Mott, Adam Fox, Ja'Kobe Williams
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 32 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| William Kermoury G | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| JB Frankel G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-6 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 22 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Xander Alarie F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Francis F | 30 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Petar Pinter C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Williams G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Miles Newton, Haris Elezovic, Youri Fritz, LA Pratt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNE -1.5
ModelNE -4.1
Model edgeNE +2.6
W NE covered
Total
Market138.5
Model143.4
Model edgeOver 4.9
L Under
Projected score
CCSU 69.7 · NE 73.7
CCSU 56 · NE 73
Win probability
NE 64%
1st half
Spread
NE -2.3
NE -14.0
Total
67.2
56 points
Projected score
CCSU 32.4 · NE 34.7
CCSU 21 · NE 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNE -3.5
2 → CCSU
CloseNE -1.5
2 pts toward CCSU
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU +100 · NE -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NE -3.5 · closed NE -1.5 · moved 2 toward CCSUmodel NE -4
model NE -4
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
| NElast 8 | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CCSU 0–2 NENE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · NE has won the last 2 meetings · CCSU 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | CCSU 62 vs NE 80 | NE -2.5 | NE W |
| Dec 19, 2023-24 | NE 79 @ CCSU 74 | CCSU +3.5 | NE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +6.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@
BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@
MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@
RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vs
SHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@
HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
over 3under 3avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northeastern
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
over 4under 4avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seton Hall61–77
- Wvs Sacred Heart108–106
- W@ Rutgers67–54
- L@ UMass77–84
- W@ Boston College60–59
4 days since their last game.
Northeastern
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Holy Cross59–76
- L@ Wake Forest73–86
- Wvs Duquesne93–86
- L@ Princeton57–70
- Lvs Vermont74–85
4 days since their last game.