Coppin State Eagles at Rider Broncs: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 7:00 PM ETAlumni Gymnasium (Rider) · at Rider

#352COPPCoppin St68▲ winner

Final

#347RIDRider65final

Closing lineRID -8.5✓ COPP covered by 11.5

Closing total139.5Under by 6.5

Season records: Coppin St and Rider
COPP	This season	RID
0-7	Record	0-4
3-4	ATS	0-4
5-2	O/U	2-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: COPP 67–77 RID · ✗ RID (81%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
COPP	24	44	68
RID	37	28	65

1st half: COPP 24, RID 37 (RID by 13). The model had RID by 5.9 and a total of 67.8 (actual 61).

Team stats

COPP		RID
27-64 42%	Field goals	18-60 30%
5-11 45%	3-pointers	5-18 28%
9-18 50%	Free throws	24-32 75%
45 18 off	Rebounds	42 18 off
14	Assists	9
10	Steals	10
6	Blocks	6
16	Turnovers	14
22	Fouls	17
38	Points in paint	20
13	Fast-break points	18

Players

COPP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jamari Piercy G	34	9	4	2	4-12	0-1
Hassan Perkins G	32	10	6	6	4-8	2-3
Khali Horton F	29	15	3	0	4-10	3-5
Demariontay Hall F	25	13	11	1	5-10	0-0
Chris Morgan F	15	5	7	1	2-5	0-0
Bench
Nelson Lamizana F	24	10	3	0	5-9	0-0
Camaren Sparrow G	17	6	4	4	3-6	0-2
Tyler Koenig F	11	0	5	0	0-4	0-0
Torrin Andrews G	8	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Hussain Williams G	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Daveyon Lydner, Josiah Brown, Baasil Saunders, Taj Thweatt, Macahi Nelson, Favour Aire, Elijah Taylor

RID	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Zion Cruz G	38	18	4	1	4-12	1-2
Flash Burton G	33	13	7	2	4-13	3-9
Caleb Smith G	27	10	11	3	4-4	1-1
Cole McCabe F	20	2	2	0	0-5	0-2
Mohamad Diallo F	10	4	3	1	2-4	0-0
Bench
Devean Williams G	23	4	2	1	1-6	0-2
Shemani Fuller F	19	5	8	1	0-6	0-0
AB Coulibaly G	12	4	2	0	2-5	0-2
Davis Bynum F	7	1	1	0	0-3	0-0
Jamir McNeil G	7	4	0	0	1-2	0-0
Daniel Helterhoff F	4	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Maurizio D'Alessandro, Xaviel Rodriguez, Kristupas Kepežinskas, Antwan Wilson

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	RID -8.5	RID -10.0	RID +1.5	L COPP covered
Total	139.5	144.6	Over 5.1	L Under
Projected score	—	COPP 67.3 · RID 77.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RID -5.9	RID -13.0
1H total	67.8	61
1H projected score	COPP 30.9 · RID 36.8	COPP 24 · RID 37

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COPP WLLWL	3-4	43%	1-3	3-4
RID LLLL	0-4	0%	—	—

Venue/role: COPP away, as underdog; RID home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
COPP OUUOO	5-2	71%	0-7
RID UUOO	2-2	50%	0-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COPPlast 7	0-7 0%	3-4 43%	5-2 71%
RIDlast 4	0-4 0%	0-4 0%	2-2 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

COPP 0–2 RIDRID leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · RID has won the last 2 meetings · COPP 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 9, 2024-25	RID 64 @ COPP 53	COPP +9.5	RID W
Nov 12, 2021-22	COPP 69 @ RID 81	RID -15	COPP W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Coppin St

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-2

71% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-443%

W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

5-271%

O O O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMD	L 61-83	+28.5	W +6.5	139.5	O 144
Nov 5	@LAS	L 59-87	+17.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 9	@JMU	L 70-84	+18.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 154
Nov 12	@USF	L 50-100	+34.5	L −15.5	167.5	U 150
Nov 14	vsCMU	L 59-82	+10.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 141
Nov 15	vsUSA	L 62-72	+18.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 134
Nov 22	@VCU	L 58-101	+32.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 159

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 61-83

+6.5

LAS

L 59-87

−10.5

JMU

L 70-84

+4.5

USF

L 50-100

−15.5

CMU

L 59-82

−12.5

USA

L 62-72

+8.5

VCU

L 58-101

−10.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 61-83

+4.5

LAS

L 59-87

+6.5

JMU

L 70-84

+12.5

USF

L 50-100

−17.5

CMU

L 59-82

−1.5

USA

L 62-72

+0.5

VCU

L 58-101

+7.5

over 5under 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rider

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

0-4

0% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-250%

U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@UVA	L 53-87	+26.5	L −7.5	148.5	U 140
Nov 5	@RUTG	L 53-81	+18.5	L −9.5	139.5	U 134
Nov 18	@TEX	L 65-99	+30.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 164
Nov 20	@HOU	L 45-91	+40.5	L −5.5	134.5	O 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UVA

L 53-87

−7.5

RUTG

L 53-81

−9.5

TEX

L 65-99

−3.5

HOU

L 45-91

−5.5

covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UVA

L 53-87

−8.5

RUTG

L 53-81

−5.5

TEX

L 65-99

+20.5

HOU

L 45-91

+1.5

over 2under 2avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Coppin St @ Rider

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Coppin St

Rider

Coppin St

Rider