The Palestra · at Penn
Closing line
HOF -1.5✓ HOF covered by 15.5
HOF -1.5✓ HOF covered by 15.5Closing total149.5Under by 12.5
| HOF | This season | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 5-1 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 75–73 PENN · ✓ HOF (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 31 | 46 | 77 |
| PENN | 33 | 27 | 60 |
1st half: HOF 31, PENN 33 (PENN by 2). The model had HOF by 1.3 and a total of 69.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| HOF | PENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-51 53% | Field goals | 21-65 32% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 17-18 94% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 40 8 off | Rebounds | 31 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 38 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 7-14 | 0-3 |
| Preston Edmead G | 34 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| German Plotnikov G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Biggie Patterson G | 21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| A.J. Wills G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Silas Sunday F | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Joshua Aaron Reaves G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Trey Boyd III, Brandon Morgan, Amir Williams, Alex Tsynkevich, Carlos Lopez
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 28 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-4 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| AJ Levine G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cam Thrower G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jay Jones G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Williams G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alex Massung G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Payton Kamin G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Ryan Altman, Bradyn Foster, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOF -1.5
ModelHOF -1.8
Model edgeHOF +0.3
W HOF covered
Total
Market149.5
Model148.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
HOF 75.2 · PENN 73.4
HOF 77 · PENN 60
Win probability
HOF 56%
1st half
Spread
HOF -1.3
PENN -2.0
Total
69.6
64 points
Projected score
HOF 35.4 · PENN 34.2
HOF 31 · PENN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOF -1.5
no move
CloseHOF -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOF -130 · PENN +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOF -1.5 · unchangedmodel HOF -2
model HOF -2
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOFlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% |
| PENNlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@
IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@
BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@
TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vs
LAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vs
MRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
over 5under 1avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@
AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@
PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vs
JOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@
DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
over 2under 4avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Merrimack78–58
- Wvs La Salle63–58
- L@ Temple76–81
- W@ Bucknell83–77
- L@ Iona73–81
1 day since their last game.
Penn
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle73–71
- Wvs Merrimack77–65
- W@ Drexel84–68
- Wvs Saint Joseph's83–74
- L@ Providence81–106
1 day since their last game.