Stony Brook Arena · at Stony Brook · Conference game
Closing line
HOF -6.5✓ STBK covered by 11.5
HOF -6.5✓ STBK covered by 11.5Closing total136.5Over by 10.5
| HOF | This season | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4 | Record | 7-9 |
| 12-3 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 72–64 STBK · ✗ HOF (75%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 25 | 46 | 71 |
| STBK | 32 | 44 | 76 |
1st half: HOF 25, STBK 32 (STBK by 7). The model had HOF by 4.8 and a total of 63.9 (actual 57).
Team stats
| HOF | STBK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| German Plotnikov G | 40 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-16 | 3-11 |
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 4-12 | 4-5 |
| Preston Edmead G | 34 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 8-15 | 4-9 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 29 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| A.J. Wills G | 32 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Silas Sunday F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joshua Aaron Reaves, Jaeden Roberts, Trey Boyd III, Brandon Morgan, Biggie Patterson, Amir Williams, Alex Tsynkevich, Carlos Lopez
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Pratt G | 40 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Rob Brown III G | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Richard Goods F | 29 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Quin Gorman F | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tomas Valentiny F | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Oleg Kojenets F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Toby Onyekonwu G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jonah Butler G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leon Nahar, Jake Harbatkin, Andrew Okafor, Ethan Simmon, Liam Dagostino, Collin O'Connor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOF -6.5
ModelHOF -7.8
Model edgeHOF +1.3
L STBK covered
Total
Market136.5
Model136.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
HOF 72 · STBK 64.2
HOF 71 · STBK 76
Win probability
HOF 75%
1st half
Spread
HOF -4.8
STBK -7.0
Total
63.9
57 points
Projected score
HOF 34.3 · STBK 29.5
HOF 25 · STBK 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOF -7.5
1 → STBK
CloseHOF -6.5
1 pt toward STBK
Total
Open134.5
▲ 2
Close136.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
HOF -305 · STBK +245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOF -7.5 · closed HOF -6.5 · moved 1 toward STBKmodel HOF -8
model HOF -8
Opened 134.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 upmodel 136.5 matches the line
model 136.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| STBK | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HOF 4–4 STBKSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · STBK has won the last 3 meetings · HOF 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | HOF 56 @ STBK 59 | STBK +6.5 | STBK W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | STBK 80 @ HOF 75 | HOF -12.5 | STBK W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | STBK 63 vs HOF 59 | HOF -8.5 | STBK W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | STBK 71 @ HOF 72 | HOF -6.5 | STBK W |
| Jan 22, 2023-24 | HOF 80 @ STBK 74 | STBK +3.5 | HOF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
12-3
80% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 7 | @ PITT | W 80-73 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ SYR | W 70-69 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs QUIN | W 74-66 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs CAM | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ DREX | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 8 | @ TOW | W 78-67 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs MONM | W 67-64 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+15.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
+10.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+7.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
−1.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+12.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 3avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+18.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
−0.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
−7.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+8.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
+5.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+10.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−8.5
over 9under 6avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stony Brook
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ME | W 71-60 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 15 | @ YALE | L 79-86 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 20 | vs BRWN | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vs PAC | L 58-86 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs BCU | W 61-54 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 28 | @ LMU | W 71-68 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ DUQ | L 75-84 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vsCOLU | W 77-73 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs CMU | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | vs UALB | L 55-71 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | @ MRST | L 51-70 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ HAMP | L 59-62 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 31 | @ W&M | L 57-76 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs NCAT | W 81-80 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | @DREX | L 37-56 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 132.5 | U 93 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNCW | L 71-75 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+13.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+6.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−23.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
+11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+13.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+0.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+8.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
+15.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−26.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−12.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−0.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−7.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
−3.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−13.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWL 71-75
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+14.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+13.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−1.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
−30.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+0.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+8.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+3.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
−12.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−20.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−16.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−19.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−26.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
+19.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−39.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWL 71-75
+12.5
over 7under 9avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
11-4 overall · 4-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Monmouth67–64
- W@ Towson78–67
- W@ Drexel70–67
- Wvs Campbell86–72
- Wvs Quinnipiac74–66
5 days since their last game.
Stony Brook
7-9 overall · 1-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Wilmington71–75
- L@ Drexel37–56
- Wvs NC A&T81–80
- L@ William & Mary57–76
- L@ Hampton59–62
5 days since their last game.