SECU Arena · at Towson · Conference game
Closing line
TOW -1.5✓ HOF covered by 12.5
TOW -1.5✓ HOF covered by 12.5Closing total134.5Over by 10.5
 HOF | This season | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 6-8 |
| 11-2 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 4-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 66–66 TOW · ✗ TOW (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| TOW | 30 | 37 | 67 |
1st half: HOF 39, TOW 30 (HOF by 9). The model had a pick’em and a total of 62.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| HOF | TOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 20-59 34% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 25-32 78% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 37 15 off |
| 6 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 8-19 | 3-7 |
| Preston Edmead G | 39 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 39 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| German Plotnikov G | 38 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Silas Sunday F | 19 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Tsynkevich C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joshua Aaron Reaves, Carlos Lopez, Amir Williams, Biggie Patterson, A.J. Wills, Brandon Morgan, Trey Boyd III
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada F | 40 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 6-20 | 2-6 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 39 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-19 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 29 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 27 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Mor Seck C | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Embeya F | 29 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Conway G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryan Skerry, Jaiden Cole, Jack Doumbia Jr., Abdou Samb, Jon Barton, Brandon Holmes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOW -1.5
ModelTOW -0.2
Model edgeHOF +1.3
W HOF covered
Total
Market134.5
Model132.2
Model edgeUnder 2.3
L Over
Projected score
HOF 66 · TOW 66.2
HOF 78 · TOW 67
Win probability
TOW 51%
1st half
Spread
PK
HOF -9.0
Total
62.0
69 points
Projected score
HOF 31 · TOW 31
HOF 39 · TOW 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOW -1.5
no move
CloseTOW -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open133.5
▲ 1
Close134.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOF +110 · TOW -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOW -1.5 · unchangedmodel TOW -0
model TOW -0
Opened 133.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 upmodel 132
model 132
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
| TOW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
HOF 2–4 TOWTOW leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · HOF 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | HOF 60 @ TOW 65 | TOW -4.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | TOW 56 @ HOF 59 | HOF -3.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | TOW 72 @ HOF 76 | HOF -2.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 16, 2022-23 | HOF 47 @ TOW 68 | TOW -2.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 3, 2021-22 | TOW 78 @ HOF 68 | HOF -3 | TOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
11-2
85% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 7 | @ PITT | W 80-73 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ SYR | W 70-69 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs QUIN | W 74-66 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs CAM | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ DREX | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+15.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
+10.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+7.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
−1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 2avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+18.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
−0.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
−7.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+8.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
+5.5
over 8under 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Towson
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-10
29% overs · avg −9.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ HOU | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs NORF | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ JMU | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs URI | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs LIB | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCSD | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs COR | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @UCF | L 61-86 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 16 | @ KU | L 49-73 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs SHU | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 29 | @ W&M | L 70-84 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ HAMP | L 62-63 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | vs MONM | L 48-62 | -8.5 | L −22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
−12.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+6.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−15.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−9.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
+11.5
29
@W&M
W&ML 70-84
−12.5
31
@HAMP
HAMPL 62-63
−7.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 48-62
−22.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
+21.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+18.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−1.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−15.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
−26.5
29
@W&M
W&ML 70-84
−3.5
31
@HAMP
HAMPL 62-63
−11.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 48-62
−26.5
over 4under 10avg −9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
9-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Drexel70–67
- Wvs Campbell86–72
- Wvs Quinnipiac74–66
- W@ Syracuse70–69
- W@ Pitt80–73
5 days since their last game.
Towson
6-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Monmouth48–62
- L@ Hampton62–63
- L@ William & Mary70–84
- Wvs Sacred Heart72–47
- L@ Kansas49–73
5 days since their last game.