Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington · Conference game
Closing line
UNCW -12.5✓ DREX covered by 0.5
Closing total137.5Under by 19.5
| This season | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 10-2 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DREX 63–76 UNCW · ✓ UNCW (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DREX | 22 | 31 | 53 |
| UNCW | 27 | 38 | 65 |
1st half: DREX 22, UNCW 27 (UNCW by 5). The model had UNCW by 7.3 and a total of 65.2 (actual 49).
Team stats
| DREX | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-55 33% | Field goals | 21-52 40% |
| 5-28 18% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 39 15 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| DREX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Beard G | 35 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Victor Panov F | 31 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Shane Blakeney G | 28 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-12 | 0-5 |
| Kevon Vanderhorst G | 20 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Martin de LaPorterie F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Reed G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Garfield Turner F | 20 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Villiam Garcia Adsten G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dillon Tingler G | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ralph Akuta F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ignacio Campoy Galvez, Clem Edomwonyin, Horace Simmons Jr., Max Davis, Moses Hipps
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Walsh F | 34 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Greedy Williams G | 32 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Noah Ross G | 31 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 24 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 18 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian May G | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Madison Durr G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matija Prodanovic, Jahnathan Lamothe, Adam Tokpah, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -12.5
ModelUNCW -12.5
Model edge—
DREX covered
Total
Market137.5
Model139.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
DREX 63.4 · UNCW 75.8
DREX 53 · UNCW 65
Win probability
UNCW 86%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -7.3
UNCW -5.0
Total
65.2
49 points
Projected score
DREX 28.9 · UNCW 36.3
DREX 22 · UNCW 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -13.5
1 → DREX
CloseUNCW -12.5
1 pt toward DREX
Total
Open139.5
▼ 2
Close137.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
DREX +600 · UNCW -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -13.5 · closed UNCW -12.5 · moved 1 toward DREXmodel UNCW -12.5 matches the line
model UNCW -12.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 downmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
DREX 1–6 UNCWUNCW leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UNCW has won the last 2 meetings · DREX 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UNCW 81 @ DREX 79 | DREX +2.5 | DREX W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | DREX 56 @ UNCW 75 | UNCW -4.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | UNCW 63 @ DREX 78 | DREX -1.5 | DREX W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | DREX 68 vs UNCW 73 | UNCW -0.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | UNCW 72 @ DREX 71 | DREX -0.5 | UNCW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drexel
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 65-76 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 83-90 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 75-43 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 68-84 | -4.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 75-71 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 25 | @ | W 71-66 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 73-75 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 64-69 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 66-74 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 75-67 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 74-56 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 63-72 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
JOES
L 65-76
−1.5
11
@
COLG
L 83-90
−3.5
15
vs
SYR
L 50-80
−18.5
18
vs
NJIT
W 75-43
+18.5
21
vs
PENN
L 68-84
−20.5
23
vs
ODU
W 75-71
+0.5
25
@
MORG
W 71-66
−0.5
3
@
AMER
L 73-75
+2.5
6
@
LAS
L 64-69
−6.5
16
vs
HOW
L 66-74
−14.5
19
vs
MSM
W 75-67
+3.5
21
vs
ME
W 74-56
+7.5
29
@
COFC
L 63-72
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
JOES
L 65-76
+1.5
11
@
COLG
L 83-90
+29.5
15
vs
SYR
L 50-80
−13.5
18
vs
NJIT
W 75-43
−20.5
21
vs
PENN
L 68-84
−0.5
23
vs
ODU
W 75-71
+3.5
25
@
MORG
W 71-66
−6.5
3
@
AMER
L 73-75
+10.5
6
@
LAS
L 64-69
+3.5
16
vs
HOW
L 66-74
+1.5
19
vs
MSM
W 75-67
+4.5
21
vs
ME
W 74-56
+0.5
29
@
COFC
L 63-72
−7.5
over 8under 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Wilmington
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
−5.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−1.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
+18.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+3.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
+1.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+21.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+7.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−7.5
6
@
UL
W 70-63
−5.5
13
@
VAL
W 73-70
−1.5
20
vs
HOW
L 66-67
−16.5
29
@
NCAT
W 87-78
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
+6.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−22.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
−0.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+2.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
−10.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+5.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+2.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−11.5
6
@
UL
W 70-63
+2.5
13
@
VAL
W 73-70
+6.5
20
vs
HOW
L 66-67
−8.5
29
@
NCAT
W 87-78
+18.5
over 7under 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drexel
5-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charleston63–72
- Wvs Maine74–56
- Wvs Mount St Marys75–67
- Lvs Howard66–74
- L@ La Salle64–69
2 days since their last game.
UNC Wilmington
10-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC A&T87–78
- Lvs Howard66–67
- W@ Valparaiso73–70
- W@ Louisiana70–63
- Wvs Marshall70–69
2 days since their last game.