Watsco Center · at Miami
Closing line
MIA -19.5✓ MIA covered by 7.5
MIA -19.5✓ MIA covered by 7.5Closing total164.5Over by 6.5
 ELON | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ELON 73–92 MIA · ✓ MIA (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELON | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| MIA | 48 | 51 | 99 |
1st half: ELON 41, MIA 48 (MIA by 7). The model had MIA by 11.3 and a total of 76.9 (actual 89).
Team stats
| ELON | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 37-68 54% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 22 5 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 14 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ELON | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Cuthrell F | 28 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Randall Pettus II G | 27 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Kacper Klaczek F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Ja'Juan Carr G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Isaac Harrell F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Cokley G | 24 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| DeMarco Johnson G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Middleton C | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ned Hull G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bryson Spell F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Iker Garmendia F | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Olander, Alex Brabec, Trey O'Neil, Austin Williams, Savion Taylor
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tru Washington G | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 30 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Malik Reneau F | 30 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 8-15 | 0-3 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Dante Allen G | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Allen F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Timo Malovec F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordyn Kee, JJ Laboy, Ernest Udeh Jr., Treyvon Maddox
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIA -19.5
ModelMIA -18.9
Model edgeELON +0.6
L MIA covered
Total
Market164.5
Model164.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
L Over
Projected score
ELON 72.6 · MIA 91.6
ELON 72 · MIA 99
Win probability
MIA 95%
1st half
Spread
MIA -11.3
MIA -7.0
Total
76.9
89 points
Projected score
ELON 32.8 · MIA 44.1
ELON 41 · MIA 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -20.5
1 → ELON
CloseMIA -19.5
1 pt toward ELON
Total
Open161.5
▲ 3
Close164.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ELON +1300 · MIA -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -20.5 · closed MIA -19.5 · moved 1 toward ELONmodel MIA -19
model MIA -19
Opened 161.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 3 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELONlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
| MIAlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Elon
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +31.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+6.5
12
@
MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+1.5
15
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 95-84
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+39.5
12
@MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+29.5
15
vsGWEB
GWEBW 95-84
+24.5
over 3under 0avg +31.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vs
BCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vs
STET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vs
FLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
over 3under 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Elon
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb95–84
- L@ Marshall89–96
- W@ UNC Greensboro92–90
5 days since their last game.
Miami
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida68–82
- Wvs Stetson102–61
- Wvs Bethune101–61
- Wvs Jacksonville86–69
4 days since their last game.