Montagne Center · at Lamar · Conference game
Closing line
LAM -3.5✓ RGV covered by 14.5
LAM -3.5✓ RGV covered by 14.5Closing total139.5Over by 15.5
 RGV | This season | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 3-4 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RGV 67–69 LAM · ✗ LAM (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 49 | 34 | 83 |
| LAM | 34 | 38 | 72 |
1st half: RGV 49, LAM 34 (RGV by 15). The model had LAM by 1.1 and a total of 64.0 (actual 83).
Team stats
| RGV | LAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 14-25 56% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 35 6 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koree Cotton G | 32 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 31 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 6-11 | 6-9 |
| Always Wright G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Zae Blake G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 23 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 8-13 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julien Gomez G | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Dane Christensen F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Demarris Winters G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marshal Destremau, Mustafo Vanjov, Kye Dickson, Luis Ramirez
| LAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Holifield F | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 7-20 | 3-10 |
| Errol White F | 27 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Cody Pennebaker G | 26 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 7-9 | 2-2 |
| Rob Lee Jr. G | 25 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Braden East F | 24 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eian Lowe G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| King-Njhsanni Wilhite G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Janko Bulajic C | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Gambrell G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| B.B. Knight G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Quinton Sanders, Christian Thomas, Spencer Ezewiro, Izuchukwu Emelife, Jayden Barrs
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLAM -3.5
ModelLAM -2.0
Model edgeRGV +1.5
W RGV covered
Total
Market139.5
Model136.7
Model edgeUnder 2.8
L Over
Projected score
RGV 67.3 · LAM 69.3
RGV 83 · LAM 72
Win probability
LAM 57%
1st half
Spread
LAM -1.1
RGV -15.0
Total
64.0
83 points
Projected score
RGV 31.5 · LAM 32.6
RGV 49 · LAM 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAM -2.5
1 → LAM
CloseLAM -3.5
1 pt toward LAM
Total
Open135.5
▲ 4
Close139.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
RGV +145 · LAM -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAM -2.5 · closed LAM -3.5 · moved 1 toward LAMmodel LAM -2
model LAM -2
Opened 135.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 upmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGVlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
| LAMlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RGV 2–2 LAMSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · LAM has won the last 2 meetings · RGV 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | RGV 68 @ LAM 70 | LAM -4.5 | RGV W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | LAM 84 @ RGV 52 | RGV -6.5 | LAM W |
| Mar 2, 2021-22 | RGV 67 @ LAM 63 | LAM +1.5 | RGV W |
| Feb 2, 2021-22 | LAM 79 @ RGV 93 | RGV -5.5 | RGV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Rio Grande
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
over 2under 6avg −10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lamar
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
TCU
TCUL 65-78
+5.5
17
@
ULM
ULMW 79-66
+1.5
23
@
MONT
MONTW 68-63
+9.5
24
vs
OAK
OAKL 68-83
−11.5
3
vs
UL
ULW 65-55
−0.5
6
vs
AMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−11.5
10
@
SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@TCU
TCUL 65-78
−4.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 79-66
+4.5
23
@MONT
MONTW 68-63
−17.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 68-83
+2.5
3
vsUL
ULW 65-55
−9.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−30.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
+24.5
over 3under 4avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Rio Grande
2-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Arlington50–58
- Wvs Austin Peay63–50
- L@ SF Austin60–73
- L@ Illinois73–87
- L@ Missouri St67–74
5 days since their last game.
Lamar
3-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego St71–89
- Lvs Texas A&M-CC49–57
- Wvs Louisiana65–55
- Lvs Oakland68–83
- W@ Montana68–63
6 days since their last game.