William R. Johnson Coliseum · at SF Austin · Conference game
Closing line
SFA -14.5✓ NWST covered by 12.5
SFA -14.5✓ NWST covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Under by 5.5
 NWST | This season | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-13 | Record | 15-3 |
| 11-6 | ATS | 15-3 |
| 12-5 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NWST 65–78 SFA · ✓ SFA (87%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| SFA | 37 | 32 | 69 |
1st half: NWST 32, SFA 37 (SFA by 5). The model had SFA by 7.6 and a total of 67.1 (actual 69).
Team stats
| NWST | SFA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-68 38% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 41 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 8 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| NWST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 8-19 | 2-4 |
| Willie Williams F | 35 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mubiru G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Izzy Miles G | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Omar Adegbola G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chip Brunt G | 23 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Justin Redmond G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Moustapha Loum F | 10 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kordrick Turner F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Landyn Jumawan G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| CJ Larry G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seth Ned, Quentin Bolton, J.C. Riley Jr.
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 34 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-7 |
| Keon Thompson G | 32 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 11-17 | 0-1 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 26 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Christian Green G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tichyque Musaka, Bryceson Melvin, Harris Dar, Yohan Gutierrez, Eltramon Smith
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSFA -14.5
ModelSFA -12.9
Model edgeNWST +1.6
W NWST covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
NWST 65.2 · SFA 78.1
NWST 67 · SFA 69
Win probability
SFA 87%
1st half
Spread
SFA -7.6
SFA -5.0
Total
67.1
69 points
Projected score
NWST 29.8 · SFA 37.4
NWST 32 · SFA 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -14.5
no move
CloseSFA -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NWST +950 · SFA -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -14.5 · unchangedmodel SFA -13
model SFA -13
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
| SFA | 9-1 90% | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
NWST 2–4 SFASFA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · SFA has won the last 2 meetings · NWST 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | SFA 74 @ NWST 64 | NWST +8.5 | SFA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | SFA 70 @ NWST 68 | NWST -2.5 | SFA W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | NWST 57 @ SFA 54 | SFA -3.5 | NWST W |
| Nov 13, 2023-24 | SFA 96 @ NWST 70 | NWST +13.5 | SFA W |
| Dec 1, 2022-23 | NWST 102 @ SFA 96 | SFA -12.5 | NWST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N'Western St
17 games played
Straight up
4-13
24% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TA&M | L 68-98 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | @ UNT | L 53-80 | +11.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNA | L 83-87 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ SF | L 64-84 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 21 | @ GCU | L 72-85 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | vs SOU | L 73-75 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ MCN | L 54-92 | +19.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ SELA | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ CAL | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs LAM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 31 | vsSFA | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | vs NOLA | W 74-68 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 5 | @ NICH | L 72-74 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs AMCC | W 79-78 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs RGV | W 64-63 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ UIW | L 74-76 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | @ HCU | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
−8.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−15.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+2.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
−3.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+5.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
−18.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+15.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+10.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−11.5
31
vsSFA
SFAL 64-74
−1.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 74-68
+7.5
5
@NICH
NICHL 72-74
+6.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 79-78
+6.5
12
vsRGV
RGVW 64-63
+3.5
17
@UIW
UIWL 74-76
+6.5
19
@HCU
HCUL 80-82
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
+12.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−4.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+27.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
+4.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+9.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+3.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
+6.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+10.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+3.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−1.5
31
vsSFA
SFAL 64-74
−0.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 74-68
−7.5
5
@NICH
NICHL 72-74
+1.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 79-78
+18.5
12
vsRGV
RGVW 64-63
−16.5
17
@UIW
UIWL 74-76
+8.5
19
@HCU
HCUL 80-82
+22.5
over 12under 5avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
SF Austin
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
15-3
83% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vsRGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vsAMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @NWST | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | @SELA | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 5 | @MCN | L 64-66 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsHCU | W 85-67 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | vsUIW | W 56-46 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | @NOLA | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @NICH | W 79-62 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @LAM | W 88-81 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
+1.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
+6.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
+8.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+5.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
+2.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
−1.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
+12.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 3avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
−0.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
−1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
−14.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+14.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
−38.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
+15.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
−3.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+32.5
over 6under 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N'Western St
4-13 overall · 4-6 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hou Christian80–82
- L@ Incarnate Word74–76
- Wvs UT Rio Grande64–63
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC79–78
- L@ Nicholls72–74
A week or more of rest.
SF Austin
15-3 overall · 10-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lamar88–81
- W@ Nicholls79–62
- W@ LSU N Orleans84–79
- Wvs Incarnate Word56–46
- Wvs Hou Christian85–67
3 days since their last game.