John Gray Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
MCN -2.5✓ MCN covered by 10.5
MCN -2.5✓ MCN covered by 10.5Closing total158.5Under by 25.5
 MUR | This season | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 6-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MUR 79–82 MCN · ✓ MCN (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 17 | 43 | 60 |
| MCN | 40 | 33 | 73 |
1st half: MUR 17, MCN 40 (MCN by 23). The model had MCN by 1.5 and a total of 75.4 (actual 57).
Team stats
| MUR | MCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-57 32% | Field goals | 29-70 41% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 15-26 58% | Free throws | 10-19 53% |
| 48 15 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 15 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor G | 31 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| JJ Traynor F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Javon Jackson G | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-3 |
| Mason Miller F | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Fredrick King C | 20 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mathis Courbon G | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Roman Domon G | 18 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-11 | 2-11 |
| Brock Vice F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| KJ Tenner G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler, Ben Shtolzberg
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia G | 31 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 25 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 20 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Larry Johnson G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Garwey Dual G | 21 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Peitok Machar F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
Did not play: JJ Rembert, T'Johnn Brown, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou, Yanis Ndjonga
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMCN -2.5
ModelMCN -2.8
Model edgeMCN +0.3
W MCN covered
Total
Market158.5
Model161.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
L Under
Projected score
MUR 79.2 · MCN 81.9
MUR 60 · MCN 73
Win probability
MCN 60%
1st half
Spread
MCN -1.5
MCN -23.0
Total
75.4
57 points
Projected score
MUR 37 · MCN 38.5
MUR 17 · MCN 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -1.5
1 → MCN
CloseMCN -2.5
1 pt toward MCN
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MUR +136 · MCN -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -1.5 · closed MCN -2.5 · moved 1 toward MCNmodel MCN -3
model MCN -3
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MURlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 6-0 100% |
| MCNlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Murray St
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-0
100% overs · avg +14.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
OMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vs
MVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@
SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vs
NICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vs
LR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vs
MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
over 6under 0avg +14.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
McNeese
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vs
UL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vs
GW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
over 2under 1avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Murray St
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs MTSU87–90
- Wvs Little Rock89–68
- Wvs Nicholls99–79
- L@ SMU91–102
- Wvs Miss Valley St108–60
1 day since their last game.
McNeese
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington92–86
- Wvs Louisiana88–62
- L@ Santa Clara67–79
1 day since their last game.