Holmes Convocation Center · at App State · Conference game
Closing line
APP -2.5✓ APP covered by 12.5
APP -2.5✓ APP covered by 12.5Closing total133.5Over by 11.5
 JMU | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 8-8 |
| 4-12 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 68–70 APP · ✓ APP (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| APP | 38 | 42 | 80 |
1st half: JMU 27, APP 38 (APP by 11). The model had APP by 1.3 and a total of 64.5 (actual 65).
Team stats
| JMU | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-60 35% | Field goals | 31-59 53% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 5-8 63% |
| 31 15 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 1 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 31 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 5-10 |
| Bradley Douglas G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Justin McBride F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-15 | 0-3 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Preston Fowler F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Ike Cornish G | 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kose Egbule G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Christian Brown F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Jones III, Paul Lewis, Justin Taylor
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wilson C | 38 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 35 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Tot G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 32 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 9-14 | 3-6 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 31 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 9-17 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Chad Moodie F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Cameron O'Kelley, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, Jacari Brim, KJ Vasser, Andrin Njock, Luke Ledford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -2.5
ModelAPP -2.4
Model edgeJMU +0.1
L APP covered
Total
Market133.5
Model137.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
JMU 67.7 · APP 70
JMU 65 · APP 80
Win probability
APP 58%
1st half
Spread
APP -1.3
APP -11.0
Total
64.5
65 points
Projected score
JMU 31.6 · APP 32.9
JMU 27 · APP 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -1.5
1 → APP
CloseAPP -2.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JMU +120 · APP -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -1.5 · closed APP -2.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel APP -2.5 matches the line
model APP -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
| APP | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JMU 1–5 APPAPP leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · APP has won the last 4 meetings · JMU 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | APP 58 @ JMU 50 | JMU -2.5 | APP W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | JMU 66 @ APP 86 | APP -1.5 | APP W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | JMU 76 @ APP 82 | APP -2 | APP W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | APP 59 @ JMU 55 | JMU -6.5 | APP W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | JMU 63 @ APP 57 | APP +2.5 | JMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
4-12
25% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs MRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
over 9under 7avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vsNCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
over 5under 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
8-8 overall · 2-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion70–69
- Lvs Marshall64–66
- W@ Arkansas St78–74
- L@ Arkansas74–103
- L@ GA Southern92–96
5 days since their last game.
App State
8-8 overall · 3-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Coastal62–67
- W@ Georgia St52–50
- L@ Marshall81–88
- W@ Old Dominion81–73
- Lvs Georgia St63–70
5 days since their last game.