Gentry Center · at Tennessee St · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -7.5✓ MORE covered by 2.5
TNST -7.5✓ MORE covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 56.5
 MORE | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 7-6 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORE 72–80 TNST · ✓ TNST (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | 36 | 50 | 14 | 100 |
| TNST | 46 | 40 | 19 | 105 |
1st half: MORE 36, TNST 46 (TNST by 10). The model had TNST by 4.5 and a total of 70.8 (actual 82).
Team stats
| MORE | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-68 46% | Field goals | 38-64 59% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 11-18 61% |
| 29-34 85% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 22 | Assists | 27 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 9 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Carroll F | 41 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| George Marshall G | 39 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 10-20 | 5-11 |
| Chase Dawson G | 29 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Anouar Mellouk F | 24 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Cunningham G | 31 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-1 |
| Josiah LeGree G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Vince Dawson III G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Parker, Jaden Priester, Jarvis Wright, Jace Winkleman, Jacob Wilson, Kameren Wright
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 41 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 12-20 | 2-3 |
| Travis Harper II G | 36 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Dante Harris G | 35 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 32 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 27 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Khalil London G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 12 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Damon Howard Jr., Ogien Ayo, Alex Garcia, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -7.5
ModelTNST -7.8
Model edgeTNST +0.3
L MORE covered
Total
Market148.5
Model151.2
Model edgeOver 2.7
W Over
Projected score
MORE 71.7 · TNST 79.5
MORE 100 · TNST 105
Win probability
TNST 75%
1st half
Spread
TNST -4.5
TNST -10.0
Total
70.8
82 points
Projected score
MORE 33.1 · TNST 37.7
MORE 36 · TNST 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -7.5
no move
CloseTNST -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MORE +300 · TNST -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -7.5 · unchangedmodel TNST -8
model TNST -8
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MORE 7–1 TNSTMORE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MORE 5-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | MORE 55 @ TNST 64 | TNST -5.5 | TNST W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | TNST 68 @ MORE 74 | MORE -3.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | MORE 68 @ TNST 49 | TNST +4.5 | MORE W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | TNST 68 @ MORE 78 | MORE -8.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | TNST 64 @ MORE 74 | MORE -4.5 | MORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morehead St
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ WAKE | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ UGA | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLEM | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ ETSU | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs ULM | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ IUIN | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ MUR | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRES | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vs LR | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ USI | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIN | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ SIUE | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs UTM | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs SEMO | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
+6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
−10.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
+2.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
−3.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−1.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−15.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
−0.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+11.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
+2.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+5.5
8
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
−5.5
10
vsSEMO
SEMOW 71-69
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
−6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
+50.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
−12.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−5.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
+17.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−16.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−22.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
+17.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+5.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
−21.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+13.5
8
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
+8.5
10
vsSEMO
SEMOW 71-69
−4.5
over 6under 8avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vsUTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vsSEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
over 7under 6avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morehead St
5-9 overall · 4-2 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Missouri71–69
- Lvs UT Martin68–76
- W@ SIUE73–72
- L@ Lindenwood Lions64–77
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–60
5 days since their last game.
Tennessee St
7-6 overall · 4-2 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Illinois70–74
- W@ W Illinois90–68
- W@ Little Rock84–79
- W@ Tennessee Tech88–76
- Lvs SE Missouri82–91
5 days since their last game.