Western Hall · at W Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
TNTC -3.5✓ TNTC covered by 1.5
TNTC -3.5✓ TNTC covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Under by 30.5
| TNTC | This season | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 1-12 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNTC 74–71 WIU · ✓ TNTC (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 18 | 41 | 59 |
| WIU | 26 | 28 | 54 |
1st half: TNTC 18, WIU 26 (WIU by 8). The model had TNTC by 2.1 and a total of 67.6 (actual 44).
Team stats
| TNTC | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 12-22 55% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 3 | Assists | 5 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TNTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Ferguson G | 34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Mekhi Cameron G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Muntu G | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Dani Pounds F | 21 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Ty Owens G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jah'Kim Payne G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Mekhi Turner F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Quavian Florence G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jacobe Whitted F | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| JaJuan Nicholls F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| C.J. McPherson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Grant Slatten, Hagan Preston, Owen Varnado, Maguire Evans, Colin Ayers
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Goanar Biliew F | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Karyiek Dixon F | 32 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 30 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Antwaun Massey F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makai Kvamme G | 20 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ifiok Peter F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Francis Okwuosah F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Danny Stephens, Steven Tipton, Marcus Pigram, Jack Riley, Nick Hittle, Jake Edwards, Tyran Cook
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNTC -3.5
ModelTNTC -3.3
Model edgeWIU +0.2
L TNTC covered
Total
Market143.5
Model144.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
TNTC 73.8 · WIU 70.5
TNTC 59 · WIU 54
Win probability
TNTC 61%
1st half
Spread
TNTC -2.1
WIU -8.0
Total
67.6
44 points
Projected score
TNTC 34.9 · WIU 32.8
TNTC 18 · WIU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNTC -3.5
no move
CloseTNTC -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TNTC -155 · WIU +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNTC -3.5 · unchangedmodel TNTC -3.5 matches the line
model TNTC -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| WIU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TNTC 0–3 WIUWIU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · WIU has won the last 3 meetings · TNTC 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | WIU 82 @ TNTC 69 | TNTC -7.5 | WIU W |
| Dec 17, 2024-25 | TNTC 68 @ WIU 71 | WIU -2.5 | WIU W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | WIU 62 @ TNTC 55 | TNTC +2.5 | WIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee Tech
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WKU | L 70-82 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 7 | @ CLT | L 65-70 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 17 | vs WGA | L 59-61 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 19 | @ UPST | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 26 | @ UK | L 54-104 | +37.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ UGA | L 81-123 | +34.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ LIP | L 80-83 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @WGA | W 87-59 | +1.5 | W +29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | vs SEMO | W 85-74 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs UTM | L 62-86 | +2.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 30 | vs TNST | L 76-88 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 1 | @ LR | L 58-77 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ EIU | L 61-71 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WKU
WKUL 70-82
+2.5
7
@CLT
CLTL 65-70
+7.5
17
vsWGA
WGAL 59-61
−6.5
19
@UPST
UPSTW 88-84
+6.5
26
@UK
UKL 54-104
−12.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 81-123
−7.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 80-83
+7.5
6
@WGA
WGAW 87-59
+29.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 85-74
+13.5
20
vsUTM
UTML 62-86
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 76-88
−10.5
1
@LR
LRL 58-77
−17.5
8
@EIU
EIUL 61-71
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WKU
WKUL 70-82
−1.5
7
@CLT
CLTL 65-70
−11.5
17
vsWGA
WGAL 59-61
−32.5
19
@UPST
UPSTW 88-84
+21.5
26
@UK
UKL 54-104
+0.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 81-123
+43.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 80-83
+10.5
6
@WGA
WGAW 87-59
−4.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 85-74
+3.5
20
vsUTM
UTML 62-86
+2.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 76-88
+8.5
1
@LR
LRL 58-77
−9.5
8
@EIU
EIUL 61-71
−8.5
over 7under 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Illinois
13 games played
Straight up
1-12
8% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ RAD | L 75-80 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ IOWA | L 58-77 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ CSUB | L 58-74 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ CBU | L 59-69 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCU | L 64-84 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs UND | L 69-78 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ DRKE | L 57-108 | +17.5 | L −33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @UND | W 69-66 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | @ LIN | L 76-92 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIUE | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @UTM | L 60-67 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @SEMO | L 50-73 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | vsTNST | L 68-90 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+11.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
+11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−8.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
+5.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
−16.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
−6.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
−33.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
+10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
−3.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
+1.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
+6.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−9.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
−15.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+3.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−9.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
−12.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
+9.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
+0.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
+26.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
−10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
+21.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
−11.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
−13.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−24.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
+12.5
over 6under 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee Tech
3-10 overall · 1-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Illinois61–71
- L@ Little Rock58–77
- Lvs Tennessee St76–88
- Lvs UT Martin62–86
- Wvs SE Missouri85–74
2 days since their last game.
W Illinois
1-12 overall · 0-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee St68–90
- L@ SE Missouri50–73
- L@ UT Martin60–67
- Lvs SIUE61–66
- L@ Lindenwood Lions76–92
2 days since their last game.