Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St · Conference game
Closing line
UTM -2.5✓ UTM covered by 5.5
UTM -2.5✓ UTM covered by 5.5Closing total135.5Over by 8.5
| UTM | This season | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 4-8 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 71–69 MORE · ✓ UTM (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| MORE | 43 | 25 | 68 |
1st half: UTM 32, MORE 43 (MORE by 11). The model had UTM by 1.4 and a total of 65.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UTM | MORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 47% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 33 18 off |
| 7 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-15 | 0-5 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Pedro Santos G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Filip Petkovski G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Afan Trnka G | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Luca Colceag F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Damien King G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Lamine Niang C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Price, Lucas Williams, Will Hopkins, Enrique Moya, James Bass, Charlie King, Ama Sow, Dragos Lungu
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Marshall G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-7 |
| Jon Carroll F | 26 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Chase Dawson G | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Clayton Parker F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Cunningham G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Vince Dawson III G | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-4 |
| Anouar Mellouk F | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Josiah LeGree G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jarvis Wright, Jaden Priester, Jace Winkleman, Kameren Wright, Jacob Wilson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTM -2.5
ModelUTM -2.1
Model edgeMORE +0.4
L UTM covered
Total
Market135.5
Model140.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
W Over
Projected score
UTM 71.2 · MORE 69
UTM 76 · MORE 68
Win probability
UTM 57%
1st half
Spread
UTM -1.4
MORE -11.0
Total
65.7
75 points
Projected score
UTM 33.5 · MORE 32.1
UTM 32 · MORE 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTM -1.5
1 → UTM
CloseUTM -2.5
1 pt toward UTM
Total
Open137.5
▼ 2
Close135.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTM -148 · MORE +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTM -1.5 · closed UTM -2.5 · moved 1 toward UTMmodel UTM -2
model UTM -2
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| MORE | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UTM 2–7 MOREMORE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MORE has won the last 3 meetings · UTM 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MORE 59 @ UTM 47 | UTM -5.5 | MORE W |
| Dec 19, 2024-25 | UTM 69 @ MORE 70 | MORE -5.5 | UTM W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | MORE 84 vs UTM 78 | UTM +7.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MORE 82 @ UTM 88 | UTM +3.5 | UTM W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | UTM 66 @ MORE 84 | MORE -8.5 | MORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UNLV | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRAD | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ FSU | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs PV | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs USM | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs CHSO | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs ALST | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ SIU | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @ TNST | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @ TNTC | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs WIU | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs EIU | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+26.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
+5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−9.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−11.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
+13.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
+3.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−20.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
−4.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+21.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−6.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+0.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
−5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−18.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−16.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
−18.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
−6.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−9.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
+7.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+2.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−13.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−7.5
over 4under 8avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morehead St
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ WAKE | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ UGA | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLEM | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ ETSU | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs ULM | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ IUIN | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ MUR | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRES | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vs LR | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ USI | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIN | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ SIUE | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
+6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
−10.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
+2.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
−3.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−1.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−15.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
−0.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+11.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
+2.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
−6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
+50.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
−12.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−5.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
+17.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−16.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−22.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
+17.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+5.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
−21.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+13.5
over 5under 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
8-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Illinois65–61
- Wvs W Illinois67–60
- W@ Tennessee Tech86–62
- L@ Tennessee St71–78
- L@ S Illinois54–83
5 days since their last game.
Morehead St
4-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SIUE73–72
- L@ Lindenwood Lions64–77
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–60
- Wvs Little Rock78–64
- L@ Presbyterian72–80
5 days since their last game.