Liberty Arena (IN) · at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · Conference game
Closing line
LR -2.5✓ LR covered by 12.5
LR -2.5✓ LR covered by 12.5Closing total140.5Under by 1.5
| LR | This season | USI |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | Record | 1-7 |
| 2-8 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 69–73 USI · ✗ USI (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 34 | 43 | 77 |
| USI | 36 | 26 | 62 |
1st half: LR 34, USI 36 (USI by 2). The model had USI by 2.1 and a total of 66.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| LR | USI | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 8-18 44% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace F | 38 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 36 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 9-10 | 3-4 |
| Johnathan Lawson G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 5-15 | 3-9 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 34 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 33 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Truman Claytor IV, Caleb Pennyfeather, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, KK Robinson
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Habib G | 37 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 8-17 | 4-8 |
| Tolu Samuels F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 24 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Brown G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 28 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-9 |
| Josiah Dunham G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Steven Clay G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ben Ezeagu F | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alem Fejzic, Cayden Gehlhausen, Amaree Brown, Braxton Jones, Trey Thomas, Devin Curtis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSI -3.5
6 → LR
CloseLR -2.5
6 pts toward LR
Total
Open142.5
▼ 2
Close140.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LR -142 · USI +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USI -3.5 · closed LR -2.5 · moved 6 toward LRmodel USI -3.5
model USI -3.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LR -2.5 | USI -3.7 | USI +6.2 | L LR covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 141.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LR 68.8 · USI 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USI -2.1 | USI -2.0 |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | LR 32.1 · USI 34.2 | LR 34 · USI 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| USIlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LR 4–2 USILR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LR has won the last 4 meetings · LR 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | LR 74 @ USI 56 | USI +3.5 | LR W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | USI 58 @ LR 78 | LR -5.5 | LR W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | USI 62 @ LR 80 | LR -10.5 | LR W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | LR 77 @ USI 75 | USI +3.5 | USI W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | USI 82 @ LR 81 | LR +1.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
2-8
20% covers · avg −8.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 8avg −8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
over 5under 5avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ BTLR | L 58-88 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs VMI | L 74-78 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 12 | @ SDAK | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIW | L 81-87 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIC | L 73-84 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | @ VAL | W 64-56 | +9.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 3 | @ WMU | L 74-88 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 7 | @ INST | L 55-77 | +11.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−7.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−7.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+3.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+0.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
+17.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
−8.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−10.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−1.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+22.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+3.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
−30.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
+11.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−26.5
over 3under 5avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
1-9 overall · 0-1 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Morehead St64–78
- L@ West Virginia58–90
- Lvs Arkansas St78–90
- L@ C Arkansas47–85
- L@ S Illinois65–74
2 days since their last game.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
1-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana St55–77
- L@ W Michigan74–88
- W@ Valparaiso64–56
- Lvs UIC73–84
- Lvs Incarnate Word81–87
A week or more of rest.