1. Home
  2. Research
  3. Game flow
Research · College

College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Florida Atlantic ✕

When did they go over?

6 games · 2026 · Florida Atlantic · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games6100%By halftime00%In Q3467%In Q4117%In OT00%Stayed under117%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands00%Over cashed117%Leader lost the game00%
83% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 80% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.

All 6 games

2026 · Florida Atlantic · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 7
 ARMY -2.5 55.5 28495980 Q3 ARMY Q2 24–56
TXSO @ FAU
2026 · Week 5
 FAU -47.5 62.5 31596976 Q3 FAU Q3 10–66
2026 · Week 4
 FAU -11.5 58.5 14525962 Q3 FAU Q2 45–17
2026 · Week 3
 FAU -5.5 62.5 10172326 U FAU Q3 10–16
2026 · Week 2
 NAVY -4.5 59.5 21385268 Q4 FAU Q1
Late over
 30–38
2026 · Week 1
 FLA -26.5 59.5 17527387 Q3 FLA Q3 21–66
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 17% 1
Q2 33% 2
Q3 50% 3
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 100% of 6 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 100% of 6 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over4100% 4
8–101100% 1
22+10% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.