Resorts World Event Center · Neutral site
Closing line
TXST -6.5✓ LEH covered by 10.5
TXST -6.5✓ LEH covered by 10.5Closing total135.5Over by 16.5
 LEH | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 4-3 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LEH 67–70 TXST · ✗ TXST (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEH | 34 | 32 | 12 | 78 |
| TXST | 34 | 32 | 8 | 74 |
1st half: LEH 34, TXST 34 (tied). The model had TXST by 1.7 and a total of 64.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| LEH | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 13-25 52% | 3-pointers | 2-6 33% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 40 16 off |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| LEH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Whitlock G | 38 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 11-19 | 5-8 |
| Joshua Ingram G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Caleb Thomas G | 31 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Hank Alvey C | 30 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Peter Kramer G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Pike F | 24 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Vazquez G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Alfredo Addesa F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Urosevic G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Henri Adiassa C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Edouard Benoit, Tommy Conniff, Bube Momah, Brendan Reed, Caesar Burrows
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall F | 41 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Mark Drone G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 34 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Franck Emmou G | 32 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dimp Pernell G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Robert Fields C | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Tay Knox C | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ky Pernell G | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cameron Simpson, Jaelyn Lee, Deke Thompson, Isaiah Barganier
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTXST -6.5
ModelTXST -3.1
Model edgeLEH +3.4
W LEH covered
Total
Market135.5
Model137.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
LEH 67.1 · TXST 70.2
LEH 78 · TXST 74
Win probability
TXST 61%
1st half
Spread
TXST -1.7
tied
Total
64.4
68 points
Projected score
LEH 31.3 · TXST 33
LEH 34 · TXST 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTXST -5.5
1 → TXST
CloseTXST -6.5
1 pt toward TXST
Total
Open132.5
▲ 3
Close135.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LEH +225 · TXST -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -5.5 · closed TXST -6.5 · moved 1 toward TXSTmodel TXST -3
model TXST -3
Opened 132.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 3 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEHlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
| TXSTlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lehigh
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOU | L 57-75 | +36.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 9 | @ WVU | L 47-69 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 14 | @ RUTG | L 72-84 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFPA | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs COLU | L 67-82 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ MRST | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs UCSB | L 70-72 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOU
HOUL 57-75
+18.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 47-69
−4.5
14
@RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+6.5
18
vsSFPA
SFPAW 79-62
+6.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUL 67-82
−12.5
25
@MRST
MRSTL 55-78
−15.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBL 70-72
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOU
HOUL 57-75
−4.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 47-69
−23.5
14
@RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+19.5
18
vsSFPA
SFPAW 79-62
−10.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUL 67-82
+5.5
25
@MRST
MRSTL 55-78
+0.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBL 70-72
−4.5
over 3under 4avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@
TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vs
UTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vs
TXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vs
ACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vs
LR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vs
SEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
over 2under 5avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lehigh
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Barbara70–72
- L@ Marist55–78
- Lvs Columbia67–82
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves79–62
- L@ Rutgers72–84
1 day since their last game.
Texas St
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Seattle U52–66
- Wvs Little Rock65–56
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn63–49
- Wvs Texas Southern77–67
- Wvs UTSA80–69
1 day since their last game.