Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville
Closing line
UNCA -5.5✓ TNST covered by 7.5
UNCA -5.5✓ TNST covered by 7.5Closing total164.5Under by 16.5
 TNST | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 78–83 UNCA · ✗ UNCA (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 34 | 41 | 75 |
| UNCA | 40 | 33 | 73 |
1st half: TNST 34, UNCA 40 (UNCA by 6). The model had UNCA by 2.3 and a total of 75.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TNST | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 25-43 58% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 5-9 56% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 18-28 64% |
| 32 14 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 18 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 38 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 37 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7-17 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Carlous Williams F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travis Harper II G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JC Brooks, Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Damon Howard Jr., Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, Khalil London, Alex Garcia
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick G | 38 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Kam Taylor G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-13 | 2-2 |
| Justin Wright G | 34 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 30 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Mayfield F | 27 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jakel Powell, Brayden Rivers, Hugo Maton, David Hermes, Mitchell Taylor, Rasheed Baldwin, Connor Dubsky
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -5.5
no move
CloseUNCA -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
▲ 9
Close164.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
TNST +205 · UNCA -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -5.5 · unchangedmodel UNCA -4
model UNCA -4
Opened 155.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 9 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNCA -5.5 | UNCA -4.1 | TNST +1.4 | W TNST covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 160.8 | Under 3.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TNST 78.4 · UNCA 82.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNCA -2.3 | UNCA -6.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | TNST 36.5 · UNCA 38.8 | TNST 34 · UNCA 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNSTlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| UNCAlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TNST 0–1 UNCAUNCA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TNST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024-25 | UNCA 92 @ TNST 74 | TNST +1.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@
WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@
TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
over 2under 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@
GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vs
LIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@
WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
over 2under 2avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee60–89
- L@ Western KY82–95
- L@ Belmont79–87
5 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Carolina73–80
- Wvs Lipscomb69–64
- L@ GA Southern90–93
- L@ Wichita St58–75
6 days since their last game.