Jenny Craig Pavilion · at San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -2.5✓ USD covered by 14.5
PAC -2.5✓ USD covered by 14.5Closing total150.5Under by 30.5
| PAC | This season | USD |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 4-7 |
| 8-3 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 76–72 USD · ✗ PAC (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 23 | 31 | 54 |
| USD | 34 | 32 | 66 |
1st half: PAC 23, USD 34 (USD by 11). The model had PAC by 2.2 and a total of 69.4 (actual 57).
Team stats
| PAC | USD | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-51 41% | Field goals | 18-50 36% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 8 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Wainwright G | 36 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| Elias Ralph F | 34 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 28 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Jack F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Clayton G | 28 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1-11 | 0-6 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 20 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustas Brazdeikis, Emmanuel Manyuon, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian McIntyre G | 35 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 34 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 6-13 | 5-8 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 32 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 32 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Toneari Lane G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Dominique Ford G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| D'Arrae Goodwin F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Emmanuel Callas, Piotr Winkowski, Brandon Benjamin, Caleb Versher, Boden Grant, Nick Del Bosque, Kjay Bradley, Tim Moore Jr., Josh Hecht, Neel Beniwal, Assane Diop
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -2.5
ModelPAC -3.5
Model edgePAC +1.0
L USD covered
Total
Market150.5
Model148.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
PAC 75.9 · USD 72.4
PAC 54 · USD 66
Win probability
PAC 62%
1st half
Spread
PAC -2.2
USD -11.0
Total
69.4
57 points
Projected score
PAC 35.8 · USD 33.6
PAC 23 · USD 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -3.5
1 → USD
ClosePAC -2.5
1 pt toward USD
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PAC -148 · USD +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -3.5 · closed PAC -2.5 · moved 1 toward USDmodel PAC -3.5
model PAC -3.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| USD | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PAC 3–6 USDUSD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PAC 2-6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | USD 81 vs PAC 77 | PAC -1.5 | USD W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | USD 69 @ PAC 71 | PAC -3.5 | USD W |
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | PAC 65 @ USD 75 | USD -1.5 | USD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | PAC 69 @ USD 81 | USD -10.5 | USD W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | USD 89 @ PAC 84 | PAC +4 | USD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
over 4under 7avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCSD | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ WASH | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+14.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+5.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−17.5
over 5under 6avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls95–82
- L@ BYU57–93
- L@ California61–67
- W@ Air Force80–65
- Wvs Sacramento St68–54
A week or more of rest.
San Diego
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington56–86
- W@ UC San Diego82–80
- Wvs N Arizona78–69
- Lvs USC81–94
- L@ San José St69–86
6 days since their last game.