John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson
Closing line
SMC -8.5✓ SMC covered by 0.5
SMC -8.5✓ SMC covered by 0.5Closing total137.5Under by 6.5
| SMC | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-1 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 75–66 DAV · ✓ SMC (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| DAV | 24 | 37 | 61 |
1st half: SMC 27, DAV 24 (SMC by 3). The model had SMC by 5.6 and a total of 65.8 (actual 51).
Team stats
| SMC | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 8-15 53% |
| 47 17 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 5 | Assists | 9 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 37 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 8-9 | 1-1 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 35 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-18 | 1-4 |
| Andrew McKeever C | 21 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Rory Hawke G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dillan Shaw G | 30 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Harry Wessels C | 19 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Cade Bennett G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jazz Gardner, Oliver Faubert, Tony Duckett, Mantas Juzenas, Kevin Gad, Trent MacLean
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Scovens F | 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Sam Brown G | 25 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Devin Brown G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roberts Blums G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Nick Coval G | 21 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Hunter Adam G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Joe Hurlburt F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Manie Joses F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| RJ Greer G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Phillip Kavu, Brock Matheny, Sean Logan, John Nowland
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMC -8.5
ModelSMC -9.0
Model edgeSMC +0.5
W SMC covered
Total
Market137.5
Model140.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
SMC 74.7 · DAV 65.7
SMC 70 · DAV 61
Win probability
SMC 78%
1st half
Spread
SMC -5.6
SMC -3.0
Total
65.8
51 points
Projected score
SMC 35.7 · DAV 30.1
SMC 27 · DAV 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -8.5
no move
CloseSMC -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMC -410 · DAV +320
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -8.5 · unchangedmodel SMC -9
model SMC -9
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMClast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 6-2 75% |
| DAVlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMC 1–0 DAVSMC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023-24 | DAV 55 @ SMC 89 | SMC -10.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
over 6under 2avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
WSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@
CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vs
BGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vs
BC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vs
USU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vs
NCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vs
CIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
over 5under 2avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Vanderbilt71–96
- Wvs Virginia Tech77–66
- Wvs Wichita St70–65
- Wvs Arkansas St85–72
- Wvs North Texas80–49
A week or more of rest.
Davidson
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel79–63
- Wvs NC A&T90–74
- Lvs Utah State60–94
- Wvs Boston College59–49
- Wvs Bowling Green91–87
3 days since their last game.