Comerica Center · Neutral site
Closing line
TLSA -4.5✓ TLSA covered by 8.5
TLSA -4.5✓ TLSA covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Over by 6.5
| TLSA | This season | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 4-2 |
| 7-1 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TLSA 77–74 NMSU · ✓ TLSA (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 49 | 34 | 83 |
| NMSU | 27 | 43 | 70 |
1st half: TLSA 49, NMSU 27 (TLSA by 22). The model had TLSA by 2.4 and a total of 70.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| TLSA | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-44 48% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 29-35 83% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 38 8 off | Rebounds | 25 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 23 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylen Riley G | 33 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Miles Barnstable G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 23 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| David Green F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Ade Popoola G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Rigsby G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Romad Dean F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Ian Smikle F | 13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Doryan Onwuchekwa, Terrance Ford Jr., Leon Sifferlin
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims F | 31 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jemel Jones G | 26 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Cyr Malonga C | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayland Randall G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 16 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Terrell G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTLSA -4.5
no move
CloseTLSA -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TLSA -192 · NMSU +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TLSA -4.5 · unchangedmodel TLSA -3.5
model TLSA -3.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TLSA -4.5 | TLSA -3.7 | NMSU +0.8 | L TLSA covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 150.9 | Over 4.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TLSA 77.3 · NMSU 73.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TLSA -2.4 | TLSA -22.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | TLSA 36.5 · NMSU 34.1 | TLSA 49 · NMSU 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSAlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% |
| NMSUlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TLSA 1–0 NMSUTLSA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TLSA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023-24 | NMSU 59 @ TLSA 65 | TLSA -7 | NMSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulsa
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
7-1
88% covers · avg +10.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 1avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
over 5under 3avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vs
UNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vs
SAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vs
UCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vs
GAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vs
USA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@
ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
over 4under 2avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulsa
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff117–84
- Wvs Missouri St98–74
- Wvs Northern Iowa63–60
- Wvs San José St81–51
- Wvs Austin Peay84–75
3 days since their last game.
New Mexico St
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Abilene Chrstn69–77
- Lvs South Alabama75–77
- Wvs Georgia St77–58
- Wvs UC Irvine57–45
- Wvs Samford81–72
A week or more of rest.